Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Torpedo Miass vs Zenit 2 — Second League A - Fall Season Silver 2023

Torpedo Miass
Torpedo Miass
Preview
11:00
Zenit 2
Zenit 2
7/25/2026Second League A - Fall Season SilverSecond League A - Fall Season Silver · Division A Silver - 2Trud stadium
54%
Torpedo Miass
model favours
54%24%21%

91% of Zenit 2’s matches go over 2.5 goals

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
50%
over 2.5 goals
51%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Torpedo Miass54%
×Draw24%
Zenit 221%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Torpedo Miass
1.70
Zenit 2
0.97

Torpedo Miass creates 75% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 9 away

creates per match

Torpedo Miass
1.06
Zenit 2
1.00

allows per match

Torpedo Miass
0.94
Zenit 2
2.33

finishing

Torpedo Miass+0.00on par
Zenit 2+0.00on par

Total goals

50%Under
  • Under50
  • Over50

Close call

Both teams score

51%Yes
  • Yes51
  • No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Torpedo Miass ↓

Zenit 2 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–17%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–111%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
50%50%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Torpedo Miass or draw
79%
Torpedo Miass or Zenit 2
76%
Draw or Zenit 2
46%

Winning margin

Torpedo Miass wins by 2+
30%
Zenit 2 wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Torpedo Miass 1+ goals
82%
Torpedo Miass 2+ goals
51%
Torpedo Miass 3+ goals
24%
Zenit 2 1+ goals
62%
Zenit 2 2+ goals
25%
Zenit 2 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Torpedo Miass (draw refunded)
72%
Zenit 2 (draw refunded)
28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Torpedo Miass at home — creates 1.06, concedes 0.94 · 16 matches

Zenit 2 away — creates 1.00, concedes 2.33 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Torpedo Miass attack 1.06 + Zenit 2 defence 2.33 → ÷2 → 1.70

Zenit 2 attack 1.00 + Torpedo Miass defence 0.94 → ÷2 → 0.97

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Torpedo Miass scores more
54%
level
24%
Zenit 2 scores more
21%

Torpedo Miass at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Torpedo Miass will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams score in 82% of Zenit 2’s matches
  • Torpedo Miass and Zenit 2 have never met before

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Miass
DLLL
2
LLWLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Torpedo Miass face Zenit 2 (Second League A - Fall Season Silver)

Second League A - Fall Season Silver returns with Torpedo Miass hosting Zenit 2. Match starts July 25, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Torpedo Miass host Zenit 2 at Trud stadium.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.