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Torpedo Miass vs Dinamo Moskva II — Second League A - Fall Season Silver 2023

Torpedo Miass
Torpedo Miass
Preview
11:00
Dinamo Moskva II
Dinamo Moskva II
7/18/2026Second League A - Fall Season SilverSecond League A - Fall Season Silver · Division A Silver - 1Trud stadium
48%
Torpedo Miass
model favours
48%24%28%

Dinamo Moskva II score first in only 13% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
54%
over 2.5 goals
56%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Torpedo Miass48%
×Draw24%
Dinamo Moskva II28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Torpedo Miass
1.64
Dinamo Moskva II
1.19

Torpedo Miass creates 38% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 9 away

creates per match

Torpedo Miass
1.06
Dinamo Moskva II
1.44

allows per match

Torpedo Miass
0.94
Dinamo Moskva II
2.22

finishing

Torpedo Miass+0.00on par
Dinamo Moskva II+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Over
  • Over54
  • Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Torpedo Miass ↓

Dinamo Moskva II →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–17%
0–24%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
77%23%2.5
54%46%3.5
31%69%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Torpedo Miass or draw
72%
Torpedo Miass or Dinamo Moskva II
76%
Draw or Dinamo Moskva II
52%

Winning margin

Torpedo Miass wins by 2+
25%
Dinamo Moskva II wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Torpedo Miass 1+ goals
81%
Torpedo Miass 2+ goals
49%
Torpedo Miass 3+ goals
23%
Dinamo Moskva II 1+ goals
70%
Dinamo Moskva II 2+ goals
33%
Dinamo Moskva II 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Torpedo Miass (draw refunded)
63%
Dinamo Moskva II (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
45%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Torpedo Miass at home — creates 1.06, concedes 0.94 · 16 matches

Dinamo Moskva II away — creates 1.44, concedes 2.22 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Torpedo Miass attack 1.06 + Dinamo Moskva II defence 2.22 → ÷2 → 1.64

Dinamo Moskva II attack 1.44 + Torpedo Miass defence 0.94 → ÷2 → 1.19

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Torpedo Miass scores more
48%
level
24%
Dinamo Moskva II scores more
28%

Torpedo Miass at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Torpedo Miass will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • 67% of Dinamo Moskva II’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Torpedo Miass and Dinamo Moskva II have never met before

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Miass
DLLL
II
LDDLD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Torpedo Miass host Dinamo Moskva II

July 18, 2026: Torpedo Miass take on Dinamo Moskva II in Second League A - Fall Season Silver. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Torpedo Miass host Dinamo Moskva II at Trud stadium.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.