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Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 5+ matches

Toronto 36%Draw 24%40% New
1.45Expected xG1.55

Over / Under 2.5

58%

Over

42%

Under

Both Score

60%

Yes

40%

No

Most Likely Scores

1-1

11%

1-2

9%

2-1

8%

xG Profile (5 home / 8 away matches)

Toronto FC

xG 1.11 · xGA 1.32

+0.09 vs xG

New York Red Bulls

xG 1.78 · xGA 1.79

-0.53 vs xG

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls — Major League Soccer 2026

Major League SoccerMajor League Soccer·2026📍BMO Field
Toronto FC
Toronto FC
FT
1 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls
D. Salloi 43'
E. M. Choupo-Moting 90'
Date
Mar 14, 2026, 5:00 PM
Tournament
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 4
Referee
C. Penso
Venue
BMO Field, Toronto

Season form

Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.

Toronto FC

Over / Under 2.5

55%over 2.5
  • Over 2.53055%
  • Under 2.52545%

Both teams scored

71%BTTS
  • Yes3971%
  • No1629%

New York Red Bulls

Over / Under 2.5

57%over 2.5
  • Over 2.53157%
  • Under 2.52343%

Both teams scored

63%BTTS
  • Yes3463%
  • No2037%

Player of the match

2
J. CheNew York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls · D
8.2

Match Events

22'
Matthew Dos Santos
32'
Robert Voloder
38'
José Cifuentes
43'
D. Salloi↳ D. Mihailovic
46'
D. Etienne← Z. Monlouis
46'
D. Kerr← E. Aristizabal
66'
T. Rosborough← M. Sofo
70'
J. Sargent← J. Cifuentes
77'
E. M. Choupo-Moting← R. Donkor
77'
O. Valencia← M. Dos Santos
80'
Julian HallPenalty cancelled
82'
K. Franklin← R. Edwards
87'
A. Coello← D. Mihailovic
90+2'
T. Parker← J. Che
90'
E. M. Choupo-Moting

Possession

32%Toronto

Shots

12Toronto

Pass accuracy

45%Toronto

Statistics

TorontoNew
Overview
32%Possession68%
12Total Shots17
1.28Expected Goals (xG)1.79
5Corners11
10Fouls13
Shots
12Total Shots17
6On Target8
4Off Target2
2Blocked7
10Inside Box14
2Outside Box3
Passing
32%Possession68%
287Total Passes590
197Accurate Passes508
69%Pass Accuracy86%
Goalkeeping
7Saves5
0.03Goals Prevented0.03
Discipline
10Fouls13
1Yellow Cards2
1Offsides2

Toronto FC 1 – 1 New York Red Bulls

Toronto FC and New York Red Bulls drew 1-1 in Major League Soccer on March 14, 2026.

Goals: D. Salloi (43'), E. M. Choupo-Moting (90').

New York Red Bulls controlled possession (68%) and registered 17 shots to 12.

The match was played at BMO Field in Toronto.