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Tauro FC vs San Francisco FC — Liga Panameña de Fútbol 2018

Tauro FC
Tauro FC
Preview
01:30
San Francisco FC
San Francisco FC
9/27/2026Liga Panameña de FútbolLiga Panameña de Fútbol · Apertura - 10Estadio Rommel Fernandez
Big match
41%
Tauro FC
model favours
41%29%30%

Top-of-the-table clash — Tauro FC 4 vs San Francisco FC 4

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
63%
under 2.5 goals
43%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 134+ matches

Tauro FC41%
×Draw29%
San Francisco FC30%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Tauro FC
1.20
San Francisco FC
0.97

Tauro FC creates 24% more chances

Season form · 138 home / 134 away

creates per match

Tauro FC
1.33
San Francisco FC
1.08

allows per match

Tauro FC
0.86
San Francisco FC
1.07

finishing

Tauro FC+0.00on par
San Francisco FC+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Under
  • Under63
  • Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

57%No
  • No57
  • Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Tauro FC ↓

San Francisco FC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–111%
0–25%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–18%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
64%36%2.5
37%63%3.5
17%83%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Tauro FC or draw
70%
Tauro FC or San Francisco FC
71%
Draw or San Francisco FC
59%

Winning margin

Tauro FC wins by 2+
18%
San Francisco FC wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Tauro FC 1+ goals
70%
Tauro FC 2+ goals
34%
Tauro FC 3+ goals
12%
San Francisco FC 1+ goals
62%
San Francisco FC 2+ goals
25%
San Francisco FC 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Tauro FC (draw refunded)
58%
San Francisco FC (draw refunded)
42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
30%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Tauro FC at home — creates 1.33, concedes 0.86 · 138 matches

San Francisco FC away — creates 1.08, concedes 1.07 · 134 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Tauro FC attack 1.33 + San Francisco FC defence 1.07 → ÷2 → 1.20

San Francisco FC attack 1.08 + Tauro FC defence 0.86 → ÷2 → 0.97

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Tauro FC scores more
41%
level
29%
San Francisco FC scores more
30%

Tauro FC at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Tauro FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
FC
LLDWL
FC
WWLDW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Tauro FC host San Francisco FC

September 27, 2026: Tauro FC take on San Francisco FC in Liga Panameña de Fútbol. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Tauro FC host San Francisco FC at Estadio Rommel Fernandez.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.