Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Taipower vs Tatung — Taiwan Football Premier League 2019

Taipower
Taipower
CANC
07:00
Tatung
Tatung
12/6/2023Taiwan Football Premier LeagueTaiwan Football Premier League · Round 20Nanzi Wenzhong Football Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 66+ matches

Taipower41%
×Draw24%
Tatung35%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Taipower
1.60
Tatung
1.45

Taipower creates 10% more chances

Season form · 66 home / 71 away

creates per match

Taipower
1.82
Tatung
1.85

allows per match

Taipower
1.05
Tatung
1.39

finishing

Taipower+0.00on par
Tatung+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Over
  • Over59
  • Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Taipower ↓

Tatung →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–17%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
59%41%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Taipower or draw
65%
Taipower or Tatung
76%
Draw or Tatung
59%

Winning margin

Taipower wins by 2+
21%
Tatung wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Taipower 1+ goals
80%
Taipower 2+ goals
47%
Taipower 3+ goals
22%
Tatung 1+ goals
77%
Tatung 2+ goals
42%
Tatung 3+ goals
18%

Draw no bet

Taipower (draw refunded)
54%
Tatung (draw refunded)
46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Taipower at home — creates 1.82, concedes 1.05 · 66 matches

Tatung away — creates 1.85, concedes 1.39 · 71 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Taipower attack 1.82 + Tatung defence 1.39 → ÷2 → 1.60

Tatung attack 1.85 + Taipower defence 1.05 → ÷2 → 1.45

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Taipower scores more
41%
level
24%
Tatung scores more
35%

Taipower at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Taipower will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Taipower vs Tatung — Match Preview

Taipower face Tatung on December 6, 2023 in this Taiwan Football Premier League fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Taipower host Tatung at Nanzi Wenzhong Football Stadium.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.