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Switzerland U17 vs Liechtenstein U17 — UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification 2022

Switzerland U17
Switzerland U17
Preview
13:00
Liechtenstein U17
Liechtenstein U17
10/15/2026UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationUEFA U17 Championship - Qualification · Group Stage - 1
Big match
94%
Switzerland U17
model favours
94%5%1%

Top-of-the-table clash — Switzerland U17 3 vs Liechtenstein U17 4

brightest fact of this match

4–0
likely score
81%
over 2.5 goals
36%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Switzerland U1794%
×Draw5%
Liechtenstein U171%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Switzerland U17
4.16
Liechtenstein U17
0.45

Switzerland U17 creates 824% more chances

Season form · 19 home / 14 away

creates per match

Switzerland U17
2.11
Liechtenstein U17
0.00

allows per match

Switzerland U17
0.89
Liechtenstein U17
6.21

finishing

Switzerland U17+0.00on par
Liechtenstein U17+0.00on par

Total goals

81%Over
  • Over81
  • Under19

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

64%No
  • No64
  • Yes36

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Switzerland U17 ↓

Liechtenstein U17 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–11%
0–20%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–05%
1–12%
1–20%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–14%
2–21%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–014%
3–16%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–014%
4–16%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 3–0 (14%) · grid covers 69% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
94%6%2.5
81%19%3.5
63%37%4.5
41%59%

Double chance

Switzerland U17 or draw
99%
Switzerland U17 or Liechtenstein U17
95%
Draw or Liechtenstein U17
6%

Winning margin

Switzerland U17 wins by 2+
83%
Liechtenstein U17 wins by 2+
0%

Team goals

Switzerland U17 1+ goals
98%
Switzerland U17 2+ goals
91%
Switzerland U17 3+ goals
75%
Liechtenstein U17 1+ goals
36%
Liechtenstein U17 2+ goals
8%
Liechtenstein U17 3+ goals
1%

Draw no bet

Switzerland U17 (draw refunded)
99%
Liechtenstein U17 (draw refunded)
1%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
33%
Both score & under 3
2%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Switzerland U17 at home — creates 2.11, concedes 0.89 · 19 matches

Liechtenstein U17 away — creates 0.00, concedes 6.21 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Switzerland U17 attack 2.11 + Liechtenstein U17 defence 6.21 → ÷2 → 4.16

Liechtenstein U17 attack 0.00 + Switzerland U17 defence 0.89 → ÷2 → 0.45

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 94%?"

Switzerland U17 scores more
94%
level
5%
Liechtenstein U17 scores more
1%

Switzerland U17 at 94% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 94% does not mean "Switzerland U17 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Switzerland U17 and Liechtenstein U17 have never met before

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
U17
LWLD
U17
LLLLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Switzerland U17 face Liechtenstein U17 (UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification)

UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification returns with Switzerland U17 hosting Liechtenstein U17. Match starts October 15, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.