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SV Darmstadt 98 vs Portsmouth — Friendlies Clubs 2024

SV Darmstadt 98
SV Darmstadt 98
Preview
12:00
Portsmouth
Portsmouth
8/1/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies
43%
SV Darmstadt 98
model favours
43%24%33%

SV Darmstadt 98 and Portsmouth have never met before

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
60%
over 2.5 goals
62%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

SV Darmstadt 9843%
×Draw24%
Portsmouth33%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

SV Darmstadt 98
1.67
Portsmouth
1.42

SV Darmstadt 98 creates 18% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 6 away

creates per match

SV Darmstadt 98
2.17
Portsmouth
1.67

allows per match

SV Darmstadt 98
1.17
Portsmouth
1.17

finishing

SV Darmstadt 98+0.00on par
Portsmouth+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

SV Darmstadt 98 ↓

Portsmouth →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
60%40%3.5
37%63%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

SV Darmstadt 98 or draw
67%
SV Darmstadt 98 or Portsmouth
76%
Draw or Portsmouth
57%

Winning margin

SV Darmstadt 98 wins by 2+
22%
Portsmouth wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

SV Darmstadt 98 1+ goals
81%
SV Darmstadt 98 2+ goals
50%
SV Darmstadt 98 3+ goals
23%
Portsmouth 1+ goals
76%
Portsmouth 2+ goals
41%
Portsmouth 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

SV Darmstadt 98 (draw refunded)
57%
Portsmouth (draw refunded)
43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

SV Darmstadt 98 at home — creates 2.17, concedes 1.17 · 6 matches

Portsmouth away — creates 1.67, concedes 1.17 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

SV Darmstadt 98 attack 2.17 + Portsmouth defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.67

Portsmouth attack 1.67 + SV Darmstadt 98 defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.42

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

SV Darmstadt 98 scores more
43%
level
24%
Portsmouth scores more
33%

SV Darmstadt 98 at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "SV Darmstadt 98 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
98
WLDLD
Portsmouth
LWDWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: SV Darmstadt 98 host Portsmouth

August 1, 2026: SV Darmstadt 98 take on Portsmouth in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.