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Strasbourg vs Blackburn — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Preview
17:00
Blackburn
Blackburn
7/25/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies
42%
Blackburn
model favours
33%25%42%

Both sides lean high-scoring (65% and 60% over 2.5)

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
52%
over 2.5 goals
56%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Strasbourg33%
×Draw25%
Blackburn42%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Strasbourg
1.29
Blackburn
1.48

Blackburn creates 15% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 11 away

creates per match

Strasbourg
1.67
Blackburn
1.64

allows per match

Strasbourg
1.33
Blackburn
0.91

finishing

Strasbourg+0.00on par
Blackburn+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Strasbourg ↓

Blackburn →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–19%
0–27%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–112%
1–29%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
30%70%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

Strasbourg or draw
58%
Strasbourg or Blackburn
75%
Draw or Blackburn
67%

Winning margin

Strasbourg wins by 2+
14%
Blackburn wins by 2+
20%

Team goals

Strasbourg 1+ goals
72%
Strasbourg 2+ goals
37%
Strasbourg 3+ goals
14%
Blackburn 1+ goals
77%
Blackburn 2+ goals
43%
Blackburn 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

Strasbourg (draw refunded)
44%
Blackburn (draw refunded)
56%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
44%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Strasbourg at home — creates 1.67, concedes 1.33 · 6 matches

Blackburn away — creates 1.64, concedes 0.91 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Strasbourg attack 1.67 + Blackburn defence 0.91 → ÷2 → 1.29

Blackburn attack 1.64 + Strasbourg defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.48

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Strasbourg scores more
33%
level
25%
Blackburn scores more
42%

Blackburn at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Blackburn will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Strasbourg and Blackburn have never met before

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Strasbourg
LWWDL
Blackburn
LWWDL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Strasbourg face Blackburn (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with Strasbourg hosting Blackburn. Match starts July 25, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.