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Stirling University vs Civil Service Strollers — League #731 2026

Stirling University
Stirling University
Preview
15:00
Civil Service Strollers
Civil Service Strollers
1/9/2027League #731League #731 · Regular Season
48%
Civil Service Strollers
model favours
29%23%48%

Stirling University sit 2, Civil Service Strollers 12 in the table

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
61%
over 2.5 goals
62%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Stirling University29%
×Draw23%
Civil Service Strollers48%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Stirling University
1.36
Civil Service Strollers
1.82

Civil Service Strollers creates 34% more chances

Season form · 23 home / 4 away

creates per match

Stirling University
1.22
Civil Service Strollers
2.00

allows per match

Stirling University
1.65
Civil Service Strollers
1.50

finishing

Stirling University+0.00on par
Civil Service Strollers+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Stirling University ↓

Civil Service Strollers →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–18%
0–27%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–06%
1–110%
1–29%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
61%39%3.5
39%61%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

Stirling University or draw
52%
Stirling University or Civil Service Strollers
77%
Draw or Civil Service Strollers
71%

Winning margin

Stirling University wins by 2+
13%
Civil Service Strollers wins by 2+
26%

Team goals

Stirling University 1+ goals
74%
Stirling University 2+ goals
39%
Stirling University 3+ goals
16%
Civil Service Strollers 1+ goals
84%
Civil Service Strollers 2+ goals
54%
Civil Service Strollers 3+ goals
27%

Draw no bet

Stirling University (draw refunded)
37%
Civil Service Strollers (draw refunded)
63%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Stirling University at home — creates 1.22, concedes 1.65 · 23 matches

Civil Service Strollers away — creates 2.00, concedes 1.50 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Stirling University attack 1.22 + Civil Service Strollers defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.36

Civil Service Strollers attack 2.00 + Stirling University defence 1.65 → ÷2 → 1.82

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Stirling University scores more
29%
level
23%
Civil Service Strollers scores more
48%

Civil Service Strollers at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Civil Service Strollers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Stirling University and Civil Service Strollers have never met before

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
University
WLLLD
Strollers
DLDL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Stirling University face Civil Service Strollers (League #731)

League #731 returns with Stirling University hosting Civil Service Strollers. Match starts January 9, 2027. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.