Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Start vs Fredrikstad — Eliteserien 2026

Start
Start
Preview
16:00
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
8/8/2026EliteserienEliteserien · Round 17
Big match
43%
Start
model favours
43%25%32%

Fredrikstad score first in only 24% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
52%
over 2.5 goals
56%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 6+ matches

Start43%
×Draw25%
Fredrikstad32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Start
1.50
Fredrikstad
1.27

Start creates 18% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 34 away

creates per match

Start
1.33
Fredrikstad
1.11

allows per match

Start
1.42
Fredrikstad
1.66

finishing

Start-0.33scores less
Fredrikstad-0.05on par

Total goals

52%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Start ↓

Fredrikstad →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–18%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–09%
1–112%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
30%70%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

Start or draw
68%
Start or Fredrikstad
75%
Draw or Fredrikstad
57%

Winning margin

Start wins by 2+
21%
Fredrikstad wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Start 1+ goals
78%
Start 2+ goals
44%
Start 3+ goals
19%
Fredrikstad 1+ goals
72%
Fredrikstad 2+ goals
36%
Fredrikstad 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Start (draw refunded)
57%
Fredrikstad (draw refunded)
43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
44%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Start at home — creates 1.33, concedes 1.42 · 6 matches

Fredrikstad away — creates 1.11, concedes 1.66 · 34 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Start attack 1.33 + Fredrikstad defence 1.66 → ÷2 → 1.50

Fredrikstad attack 1.11 + Start defence 1.42 → ÷2 → 1.27

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Start scores more
43%
level
25%
Fredrikstad scores more
32%

Start at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Start will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • 80% of Start’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • 71% of Fredrikstad’s matches stay under 2.5 goals
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 7 meetings
  • Their last 7 meetings averaged 3.6 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Start
Direct / counter-attacking
Fredrikstad
Balanced
43%Possession45%
73%Pass accuracy75%
11.7Shots11.2
1.09xGBiggest gap1.36
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
StartFredrikstad

Head-to-head

7 previous meetings

1
Start
2
Draws
4
Fredrikstad
Avg goals: 3.6BTTS: 71%
1–22–21–31–00–1

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Start
LLLLW
Fredrikstad
LLLDD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Start vs Fredrikstad — Match Preview

Start face Fredrikstad on August 8, 2026 in this Eliteserien fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.