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Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Stabaek
Stabaek
FT
2 – 0
ODD Ballklubb
ODD Ballklubb
6/9/2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Nadderud Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Stabaek58%
×Draw21%
ODD Ballklubb21%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Stabaek
2.10
ODD Ballklubb
1.18

Stabaek creates 78% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 9 away

creates per match

Stabaek
2.09
ODD Ballklubb
1.44

allows per match

Stabaek
0.91
ODD Ballklubb
2.11

finishing

Stabaek+0.00on par
ODD Ballklubb+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 63Under: 3763%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 61No: 3961%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Stabaek ↓

ODD Ballklubb →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–14%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–19%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–24%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
63%37%3.5
41%59%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Stabaek or draw
79%
Stabaek or ODD Ballklubb
79%
Draw or ODD Ballklubb
42%

Winning margin

Stabaek wins by 2+
35%
ODD Ballklubb wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Stabaek 1+ goals
88%
Stabaek 2+ goals
62%
Stabaek 3+ goals
35%
ODD Ballklubb 1+ goals
69%
ODD Ballklubb 2+ goals
33%
ODD Ballklubb 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Stabaek (draw refunded)
74%
ODD Ballklubb (draw refunded)
26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Stabaek at home — creates 2.09, concedes 0.91 · 11 matches

ODD Ballklubb away — creates 1.44, concedes 2.11 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Stabaek attack 2.09 + ODD Ballklubb defence 2.11 → ÷2 → 2.10

ODD Ballklubb attack 1.44 + Stabaek defence 0.91 → ÷2 → 1.18

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

Stabaek scores more
58%
level
21%
ODD Ballklubb scores more
21%

Stabaek at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "Stabaek will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Stabaek vs ODD Ballklubb

Stabaek beat ODD Ballklubb 2-0 in Friendlies Clubs on June 9, 2020.

The match was played at Nadderud Stadion in Bekkestua.