Stabaek 0–0 Mjondalen: Result & Stats | Eliteserien

Stabaek

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Mjondalen

6/16/2020

Eliteserien · Round 1Nadderud Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 29+ matches

Stabaek45%

×Draw27%

Mjondalen28%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

StabaekExpected goals in this matchMjondalen

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.42

1.07

Stabaek

1.42

Mjondalen

1.07

Stabaek creates 33% more chances

Season form · 60 home / 29 away

1.25

creates per match

0.86

1.28

allows per match

1.59

creates per match

Stabaek

1.25

Mjondalen

0.86

allows per match

Stabaek

1.28

Mjondalen

1.59

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Stabaek+0.00on par

Mjondalen+0.00on par

Total goals

Under55
Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No50
Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Stabaek ↓

Mjondalen →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–19%

0–25%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–012%

1–113%

1–27%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

71%29%2.5

45%55%3.5

24%76%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Stabaek or draw

72%

Stabaek or Mjondalen

73%

Draw or Mjondalen

55%

Winning margin

Stabaek wins by 2+

22%

Mjondalen wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Stabaek 1+ goals

76%

Stabaek 2+ goals

41%

Stabaek 3+ goals

17%

Mjondalen 1+ goals

66%

Mjondalen 2+ goals

29%

Mjondalen 3+ goals

9%

Draw no bet

Stabaek (draw refunded)

61%

Mjondalen (draw refunded)

39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

37%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Stabaek at home — creates 1.25, concedes 1.28 · 60 matches

Mjondalen away — creates 0.86, concedes 1.59 · 29 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Stabaek attack 1.25 + Mjondalen defence 1.59 → ÷2 → 1.42

Mjondalen attack 0.86 + Stabaek defence 1.28 → ÷2 → 1.07

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Stabaek scores more

45%

level

27%

Mjondalen scores more

28%

Stabaek at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Stabaek will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1

S. Makani

Mjondalen · G

7.7

Match Events

19'

Stian Aasmundsen

57'

Hugo Vetlesen

59'

L. Kassi← R. Gall

62'

Sondre Solholm Johansen

64'

S. Ibrahim← S. Liseth

73'

M. Ovenstad← T. Brochmann

73'

A. Hansen← W. Sell

83'

Alexander Hansen

84'

A. Hellum← C. Gauseth

84'

J. Solberg← L. Larsen

86'

J. Isaksen← H. Vetlesen

89'

E. Jonassen← M. Solheim

90'

Alexander Hansen

90'

Alexander Hansen

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

StabaekMjondalen

Overview

56%Possession44%

9Total Shots9

7Corners7

12Fouls15

Shots

9Total Shots9

3On Target1

4Off Target6

2Blocked2

5Inside Box2

4Outside Box7

Passing

56%Possession44%

368Total Passes278

261Accurate Passes176

71%Pass Accuracy63%

Goalkeeping

1Saves4

Discipline

12Fouls15

1Yellow Cards4

0Red Cards1

2Offsides2

Eliteserien: Stabaek 0–0 Mjondalen

Stabaek and Mjondalen drew 0-0 in Eliteserien on June 16, 2020.

Stabaek controlled possession (56%) and registered 9 shots to 9.

The match was played at Nadderud Stadion in Bekkestua.

Stabaek vs Mjondalen — Eliteserien 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Eliteserien: Stabaek 0–0 Mjondalen