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Slovan Bratislava II vs Lokomotíva Zvolen — 2. liga 2019

Slovan Bratislava II
Slovan Bratislava II
Preview
08:30
Lokomotíva Zvolen
Lokomotíva Zvolen
4/18/20272. liga2. liga · Round 26Pasienky
41%
Slovan Bratislava II
model favours
41%25%35%
1–1
likely score
56%
over 2.5 goals
59%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Slovan Bratislava II41%
×Draw25%
Lokomotíva Zvolen35%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slovan Bratislava II
1.52
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.39

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 97 home / 30 away

creates per match

Slovan Bratislava II
1.58
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.17

allows per match

Slovan Bratislava II
1.60
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.47

finishing

Slovan Bratislava II+0.00on par
Lokomotíva Zvolen+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Over
  • Over56
  • Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slovan Bratislava II ↓

Lokomotíva Zvolen →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–18%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–112%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
56%44%3.5
33%67%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Slovan Bratislava II or draw
65%
Slovan Bratislava II or Lokomotíva Zvolen
75%
Draw or Lokomotíva Zvolen
59%

Winning margin

Slovan Bratislava II wins by 2+
20%
Lokomotíva Zvolen wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Slovan Bratislava II 1+ goals
78%
Slovan Bratislava II 2+ goals
45%
Slovan Bratislava II 3+ goals
20%
Lokomotíva Zvolen 1+ goals
75%
Lokomotíva Zvolen 2+ goals
40%
Lokomotíva Zvolen 3+ goals
16%

Draw no bet

Slovan Bratislava II (draw refunded)
54%
Lokomotíva Zvolen (draw refunded)
46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slovan Bratislava II at home — creates 1.58, concedes 1.60 · 97 matches

Lokomotíva Zvolen away — creates 1.17, concedes 1.47 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slovan Bratislava II attack 1.58 + Lokomotíva Zvolen defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.52

Lokomotíva Zvolen attack 1.17 + Slovan Bratislava II defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.39

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Slovan Bratislava II scores more
41%
level
25%
Lokomotíva Zvolen scores more
35%

Slovan Bratislava II at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Slovan Bratislava II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
II
LLWD
Zvolen
DDLLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Slovan Bratislava II vs Lokomotíva Zvolen — Match Preview

Slovan Bratislava II face Lokomotíva Zvolen on April 18, 2027 in this 2. liga fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Slovan Bratislava II host Lokomotíva Zvolen at Pasienky.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.