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Slavia Praha U19 vs České Budějovice U19 — 1. Liga U19 2020

Slavia Praha U19
Slavia Praha U19
Preview
15:00
České Budějovice U19
České Budějovice U19
8/29/20261. Liga U191. Liga U19 · Round 4
44%
Slavia Praha U19
model favours
44%21%35%

90% of České Budějovice U19’s matches go over 2.5 goals

brightest fact of this match

2–1
likely score
73%
over 2.5 goals
72%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Slavia Praha U1944%
×Draw21%
České Budějovice U1935%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Slavia Praha U19
2.04
České Budějovice U19
1.79

Slavia Praha U19 creates 14% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 80 away

creates per match

Slavia Praha U19
1.93
České Budějovice U19
1.77

allows per match

Slavia Praha U19
1.80
České Budějovice U19
2.15

finishing

Slavia Praha U19+0.00on par
České Budějovice U19+0.00on par

Total goals

73%Over
  • Over73
  • Under27

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

72%Yes
  • Yes72
  • No28

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Slavia Praha U19 ↓

České Budějovice U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–14%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–04%
1–18%
1–27%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (8%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
89%11%2.5
73%27%3.5
53%47%4.5
33%67%

Double chance

Slavia Praha U19 or draw
65%
Slavia Praha U19 or České Budějovice U19
79%
Draw or České Budějovice U19
56%

Winning margin

Slavia Praha U19 wins by 2+
25%
České Budějovice U19 wins by 2+
18%

Team goals

Slavia Praha U19 1+ goals
87%
Slavia Praha U19 2+ goals
60%
Slavia Praha U19 3+ goals
33%
České Budějovice U19 1+ goals
83%
České Budějovice U19 2+ goals
53%
České Budějovice U19 3+ goals
26%

Draw no bet

Slavia Praha U19 (draw refunded)
56%
České Budějovice U19 (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
64%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Slavia Praha U19 at home — creates 1.93, concedes 1.80 · 15 matches

České Budějovice U19 away — creates 1.77, concedes 2.15 · 80 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Slavia Praha U19 attack 1.93 + České Budějovice U19 defence 2.15 → ÷2 → 2.04

České Budějovice U19 attack 1.77 + Slavia Praha U19 defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 1.79

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Slavia Praha U19 scores more
44%
level
21%
České Budějovice U19 scores more
35%

Slavia Praha U19 at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Slavia Praha U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • České Budějovice U19 score first in only 20% of matches
  • České Budějovice U19 have scored in 9 games running
  • České Budějovice U19 win just 30% against the top half (vs 56% against the bottom)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
U19
LLDLL
U19
LWWLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Slavia Praha U19 face České Budějovice U19 (1. Liga U19)

1. Liga U19 returns with Slavia Praha U19 hosting České Budějovice U19. Match starts August 29, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.