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SJK Akatemia vs Kooteepee — Ykkösliiga 2026

SJK Akatemia
SJK Akatemia
Preview
16:00
Kooteepee
Kooteepee
10/9/2026YkkösliigaYkkösliiga · Group StageOmaSp Stadion
Big match
49%
Kooteepee
model favours
28%23%49%

SJK Akatemia score first in only 14% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
61%
over 2.5 goals
62%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 21+ matches

SJK Akatemia28%
×Draw23%
Kooteepee49%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

SJK Akatemia
1.33
Kooteepee
1.82

Kooteepee creates 37% more chances

Season form · 35 home / 21 away

creates per match

SJK Akatemia
1.37
Kooteepee
2.33

allows per match

SJK Akatemia
1.31
Kooteepee
1.29

finishing

SJK Akatemia+0.00on par
Kooteepee+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 61Under: 3961%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 62No: 3862%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

SJK Akatemia ↓

Kooteepee →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–18%
0–27%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–06%
1–110%
1–29%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
61%39%3.5
38%62%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

SJK Akatemia or draw
51%
SJK Akatemia or Kooteepee
77%
Draw or Kooteepee
72%

Winning margin

SJK Akatemia wins by 2+
12%
Kooteepee wins by 2+
27%

Team goals

SJK Akatemia 1+ goals
74%
SJK Akatemia 2+ goals
38%
SJK Akatemia 3+ goals
15%
Kooteepee 1+ goals
84%
Kooteepee 2+ goals
54%
Kooteepee 3+ goals
27%

Draw no bet

SJK Akatemia (draw refunded)
37%
Kooteepee (draw refunded)
63%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

SJK Akatemia at home — creates 1.37, concedes 1.31 · 35 matches

Kooteepee away — creates 2.33, concedes 1.29 · 21 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

SJK Akatemia attack 1.37 + Kooteepee defence 1.29 → ÷2 → 1.33

Kooteepee attack 2.33 + SJK Akatemia defence 1.31 → ÷2 → 1.82

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

SJK Akatemia scores more
28%
level
23%
Kooteepee scores more
49%

Kooteepee at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Kooteepee will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams score in 82% of Kooteepee’s matches
  • Kooteepee score first in only 29% of matches
  • Kooteepee have won 7 of the last 9 meetings
  • SJK Akatemia win just 9% against the top half (vs 38% against the bottom)
  • 35% of SJK Akatemia’s goals come after the 75th minute

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Akatemia
DDDLL
Kooteepee
DLWDW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: SJK Akatemia host Kooteepee

October 9, 2026: SJK Akatemia take on Kooteepee in Ykkösliiga. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

SJK Akatemia host Kooteepee at OmaSp Stadion.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.