Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Silver Strikers vs Kamuzu Barracks — Super League 2026

Silver Strikers
Silver Strikers
FT
3 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Kamuzu Barracks
Kamuzu Barracks
S. Davie 90+2', 10'
D. Nyoni 6'
5/15/2022Super LeagueSuper League · Round 8Silver Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 75+ matches

Silver Strikers54%
×Draw26%
Kamuzu Barracks20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Silver Strikers
1.50
Kamuzu Barracks
0.80

Silver Strikers creates 88% more chances

Season form · 77 home / 75 away

creates per match

Silver Strikers
1.96
Kamuzu Barracks
0.99

allows per match

Silver Strikers
0.62
Kamuzu Barracks
1.05

finishing

Silver Strikers+0.00on par
Kamuzu Barracks+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Under
  • Under60
  • Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

57%No
  • No57
  • Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Silver Strikers ↓

Kamuzu Barracks →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–18%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–112%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–15%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
67%33%2.5
40%60%3.5
20%80%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Silver Strikers or draw
80%
Silver Strikers or Kamuzu Barracks
74%
Draw or Kamuzu Barracks
46%

Winning margin

Silver Strikers wins by 2+
28%
Kamuzu Barracks wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Silver Strikers 1+ goals
78%
Silver Strikers 2+ goals
44%
Silver Strikers 3+ goals
19%
Kamuzu Barracks 1+ goals
55%
Kamuzu Barracks 2+ goals
19%
Kamuzu Barracks 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Silver Strikers (draw refunded)
73%
Kamuzu Barracks (draw refunded)
27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
31%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Silver Strikers at home — creates 1.96, concedes 0.62 · 77 matches

Kamuzu Barracks away — creates 0.99, concedes 1.05 · 75 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Silver Strikers attack 1.96 + Kamuzu Barracks defence 1.05 → ÷2 → 1.50

Kamuzu Barracks attack 0.99 + Silver Strikers defence 0.62 → ÷2 → 0.80

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Silver Strikers scores more
54%
level
26%
Kamuzu Barracks scores more
20%

Silver Strikers at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Silver Strikers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

6'
D. Nyoni
10'
S. Davie
76'
86'
90+2'
S. Davie

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Silver Strikers vs Kamuzu Barracks

Silver Strikers beat Kamuzu Barracks 3-0 in Super League on May 15, 2022.

Goals: D. Nyoni (6'), S. Davie (10', 90+2').

The match was played at Silver Stadium in Lilongwe.