Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Silver Strikers vs Chitipa United — Super League 2026

Silver Strikers
Silver Strikers
PST
12:30
Chitipa United
Chitipa United
11/23/2025Super LeagueSuper League · Round 21

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 60+ matches

Silver Strikers66%
×Draw23%
Chitipa United12%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Silver Strikers
1.72
Chitipa United
0.56

Silver Strikers creates 207% more chances

Season form · 77 home / 60 away

creates per match

Silver Strikers
1.96
Chitipa United
0.50

allows per match

Silver Strikers
0.62
Chitipa United
1.48

finishing

Silver Strikers+0.00on par
Chitipa United+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Under
  • Under60
  • Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

65%No
  • No65
  • Yes35

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Silver Strikers ↓

Chitipa United →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–16%
0–22%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–018%
1–110%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–015%
2–18%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–09%
3–15%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (18%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
66%34%2.5
40%60%3.5
19%81%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Silver Strikers or draw
88%
Silver Strikers or Chitipa United
77%
Draw or Chitipa United
34%

Winning margin

Silver Strikers wins by 2+
38%
Chitipa United wins by 2+
3%

Team goals

Silver Strikers 1+ goals
82%
Silver Strikers 2+ goals
51%
Silver Strikers 3+ goals
25%
Chitipa United 1+ goals
43%
Chitipa United 2+ goals
11%
Chitipa United 3+ goals
2%

Draw no bet

Silver Strikers (draw refunded)
85%
Chitipa United (draw refunded)
15%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
25%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Silver Strikers at home — creates 1.96, concedes 0.62 · 77 matches

Chitipa United away — creates 0.50, concedes 1.48 · 60 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Silver Strikers attack 1.96 + Chitipa United defence 1.48 → ÷2 → 1.72

Chitipa United attack 0.50 + Silver Strikers defence 0.62 → ÷2 → 0.56

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 66%?"

Silver Strikers scores more
66%
level
23%
Chitipa United scores more
12%

Silver Strikers at 66% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 66% does not mean "Silver Strikers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Silver Strikers host Chitipa United

November 23, 2025: Silver Strikers take on Chitipa United in Super League. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.