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Silver Strikers vs Be Forward Wanderers — Super League 2026

Silver Strikers
Silver Strikers
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Be Forward Wanderers
Be Forward Wanderers
10/16/2023Super LeagueSuper League · Round 21Bingu National Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 82+ matches

Silver Strikers45%
×Draw28%
Be Forward Wanderers27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Silver Strikers
1.30
Be Forward Wanderers
0.94

Silver Strikers creates 38% more chances

Season form · 82 home / 82 away

creates per match

Silver Strikers
2.00
Be Forward Wanderers
1.26

allows per match

Silver Strikers
0.62
Be Forward Wanderers
0.61

finishing

Silver Strikers+0.00on par
Be Forward Wanderers+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Under
  • Under61
  • Over39

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

56%No
  • No56
  • Yes44

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Silver Strikers ↓

Be Forward Wanderers →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–110%
0–25%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–18%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
65%35%2.5
39%61%3.5
19%81%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Silver Strikers or draw
73%
Silver Strikers or Be Forward Wanderers
72%
Draw or Be Forward Wanderers
55%

Winning margin

Silver Strikers wins by 2+
21%
Be Forward Wanderers wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Silver Strikers 1+ goals
73%
Silver Strikers 2+ goals
37%
Silver Strikers 3+ goals
14%
Be Forward Wanderers 1+ goals
61%
Be Forward Wanderers 2+ goals
24%
Be Forward Wanderers 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Silver Strikers (draw refunded)
62%
Be Forward Wanderers (draw refunded)
38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
31%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Silver Strikers at home — creates 2.00, concedes 0.62 · 82 matches

Be Forward Wanderers away — creates 1.26, concedes 0.61 · 82 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Silver Strikers attack 2.00 + Be Forward Wanderers defence 0.61 → ÷2 → 1.30

Be Forward Wanderers attack 1.26 + Silver Strikers defence 0.62 → ÷2 → 0.94

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Silver Strikers scores more
45%
level
28%
Be Forward Wanderers scores more
27%

Silver Strikers at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Silver Strikers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Super League: Silver Strikers 1–0 Be Forward Wanderers

Silver Strikers beat Be Forward Wanderers 1-0 in Super League on October 16, 2023.

The match was played at Bingu National Stadium in Lilongwe.