Šiauliai 5–0 Džiugas Telšiai: Result & Stats

Šiauliai

FT

5 – 0

HT: 2 – 0

Džiugas Telšiai

M. Djokic 65', 60', 37'

E. Jankauskas 59'

D. Romanovskij 45'

6/29/2025

A Lyga · Round 18Siauliai central stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 82+ matches

Šiauliai45%

×Draw26%

Džiugas Telšiai28%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

ŠiauliaiExpected goals in this matchDžiugas Telšiai

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.44

1.08

Šiauliai

1.44

Džiugas Telšiai

1.08

Šiauliai creates 33% more chances

Season form · 82 home / 100 away

1.35

creates per match

1.00

1.17

allows per match

1.52

creates per match

Šiauliai

1.35

Džiugas Telšiai

1.00

allows per match

Šiauliai

1.17

Džiugas Telšiai

1.52

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Šiauliai+0.00on par

Džiugas Telšiai+0.00on par

Total goals

Under54
Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No50
Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Šiauliai ↓

Džiugas Telšiai →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–19%

0–25%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–012%

1–113%

1–27%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

72%28%2.5

46%54%3.5

25%75%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Šiauliai or draw

72%

Šiauliai or Džiugas Telšiai

74%

Draw or Džiugas Telšiai

55%

Winning margin

Šiauliai wins by 2+

22%

Džiugas Telšiai wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Šiauliai 1+ goals

76%

Šiauliai 2+ goals

42%

Šiauliai 3+ goals

18%

Džiugas Telšiai 1+ goals

66%

Džiugas Telšiai 2+ goals

29%

Džiugas Telšiai 3+ goals

10%

Draw no bet

Šiauliai (draw refunded)

62%

Džiugas Telšiai (draw refunded)

38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

38%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Šiauliai at home — creates 1.35, concedes 1.17 · 82 matches

Džiugas Telšiai away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.52 · 100 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Šiauliai attack 1.35 + Džiugas Telšiai defence 1.52 → ÷2 → 1.44

Džiugas Telšiai attack 1.00 + Šiauliai defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.08

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Šiauliai scores more

45%

level

26%

Džiugas Telšiai scores more

28%

Šiauliai at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Šiauliai will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

21'

L. Ankudinovas

25'

D. Romanovskij

28'

I. Cisse

32'

V. Piliukaitis← D. Martin

37'

M. Djokic↳ G. Micevicius

38'

K. Zebrauskas

45'

D. Romanovskij↳ M. Djokic

46'

F. Kayramani← I. Cisse

46'

K. Silkaitis← M. Vasiliauskas

59'

E. Jankauskas↳ D. Romanovskij

60'

M. Djokic↳ D. Romanovskij

65'

M. Djokic

68'

O. Kurtsev

69'

D. Kubilinskas← G. Micevicius

69'

A. Baghdasaryan← O. Kurtsev

69'

S. Urbys← D. Trajkovski

77'

D. Jarasius← M. Djokic

80'

M. Mandic

86'

G. Jaseliunas← K. Zebrauskas

86'

U. Vaitiekaitis← D. Romanovskij

Šiauliai

Džiugas

1

49

19

3

24

▼

Trajkovsk

23

▼

Cisse

33

Ankudinov

20

▼

Martin

7

▼

Vasiliaus

27

Vinckus

26

▼

61

21

4

3

2

10

14

▼

Zebrauska

31

A

▼

Miceviciu

13

⚽A

▼

Romanovsk

17

⚽

Jankauska

97

⚽3A

▼

Djokic

69'▲D. Kubilinskas←▼G. Micevicius

77'▲D. Jarasius←▼M. Djokic

86'▲G. Jaseliunas←▼K. Zebrauskas

86'▲U. Vaitiekaitis←▼D. Romanovskij

Šiauliai substitutes

99Aleksandravicius16Apockinas50Bierontas51Gestautas27Jarasius6Jaseliunas8Kubilinskas36Radavicius30Vaitiekaitis23Silva9Klimavicius

32'▲V. Piliukaitis←▼D. Martin

46'▲F. Kayramani←▼I. Cisse

46'▲K. Silkaitis←▼M. Vasiliauskas

69'▲A. Baghdasaryan←▼O. Kurtsev

69'▲S. Urbys←▼D. Trajkovski

Džiugas Telšiai substitutes

99Gaudiesius2Vermeulen8Kayramani9Baghdasaryan10Piliukaitis17Stulga21Patella77Urbys87Silkaitis

A Lyga: Šiauliai 5–0 Džiugas Telšiai

Šiauliai beat Džiugas Telšiai 5-0 in A Lyga on June 29, 2025.

Goals: M. Djokic (37', 60', 65'), D. Romanovskij (45'), E. Jankauskas (59').

The match was played at Siauliai central stadium.

Šiauliai vs Džiugas Telšiai — A Lyga 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

A Lyga: Šiauliai 5–0 Džiugas Telšiai