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Shortan vs Kattaqurgon — Pro League A 2026

Shortan
Shortan
Preview
13:00
Kattaqurgon
Kattaqurgon
8/15/2026Pro League APro League A · Round 15Stadion Guzor
37%
Shortan
model favours
37%33%30%

Shortan score first in only 4% of matches

brightest fact of this match

0–0
likely score
73%
under 2.5 goals
36%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Shortan37%
×Draw33%
Kattaqurgon30%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Shortan
0.97
Kattaqurgon
0.85

Shortan creates 14% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 6 away

creates per match

Shortan
1.45
Kattaqurgon
1.00

allows per match

Shortan
0.70
Kattaqurgon
0.50

finishing

Shortan+0.00on par
Kattaqurgon+0.00on par

Total goals

73%Under
  • Under73
  • Over27

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

64%No
  • No64
  • Yes36

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Shortan ↓

Kattaqurgon →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–016%
0–114%
0–26%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–016%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–08%
2–16%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–02%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (16%) · grid covers 100% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
84%16%1.5
54%46%2.5
27%73%3.5
11%89%4.5
4%96%

Double chance

Shortan or draw
70%
Shortan or Kattaqurgon
67%
Draw or Kattaqurgon
63%

Winning margin

Shortan wins by 2+
14%
Kattaqurgon wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Shortan 1+ goals
62%
Shortan 2+ goals
25%
Shortan 3+ goals
7%
Kattaqurgon 1+ goals
57%
Kattaqurgon 2+ goals
21%
Kattaqurgon 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Shortan (draw refunded)
55%
Kattaqurgon (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
22%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Shortan at home — creates 1.45, concedes 0.70 · 20 matches

Kattaqurgon away — creates 1.00, concedes 0.50 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Shortan attack 1.45 + Kattaqurgon defence 0.50 → ÷2 → 0.97

Kattaqurgon attack 1.00 + Shortan defence 0.70 → ÷2 → 0.85

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 37%?"

Shortan scores more
37%
level
33%
Kattaqurgon scores more
30%

Shortan at 37% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 37% does not mean "Shortan will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Shortan
LLWWW
Kattaqurgon
LWDDW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Shortan host Kattaqurgon

August 15, 2026: Shortan take on Kattaqurgon in Pro League A. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Shortan host Kattaqurgon at Stadion Guzor.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.