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Shortan vs Jayxun — Pro League A 2026

Shortan
Shortan
Preview
13:00
Jayxun
Jayxun
10/7/2026Pro League APro League A · Round 21Stadion Guzor
70%
Shortan
model favours
70%19%11%

Shortan score first in only 4% of matches

brightest fact of this match

2–0
likely score
52%
over 2.5 goals
43%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Shortan70%
×Draw19%
Jayxun11%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Shortan
2.08
Jayxun
0.67

Shortan creates 210% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 14 away

creates per match

Shortan
1.45
Jayxun
0.64

allows per match

Shortan
0.70
Jayxun
2.71

finishing

Shortan+0.00on par
Jayxun+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

57%No
  • No57
  • Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Shortan ↓

Jayxun →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–14%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–19%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–014%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–010%
3–16%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–05%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (14%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Shortan or draw
89%
Shortan or Jayxun
81%
Draw or Jayxun
30%

Winning margin

Shortan wins by 2+
45%
Jayxun wins by 2+
3%

Team goals

Shortan 1+ goals
87%
Shortan 2+ goals
61%
Shortan 3+ goals
34%
Jayxun 1+ goals
49%
Jayxun 2+ goals
15%
Jayxun 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Shortan (draw refunded)
87%
Jayxun (draw refunded)
13%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
34%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Shortan at home — creates 1.45, concedes 0.70 · 20 matches

Jayxun away — creates 0.64, concedes 2.71 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Shortan attack 1.45 + Jayxun defence 2.71 → ÷2 → 2.08

Jayxun attack 0.64 + Shortan defence 0.70 → ÷2 → 0.67

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 70%?"

Shortan scores more
70%
level
19%
Jayxun scores more
11%

Shortan at 70% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 70% does not mean "Shortan will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Shortan
LLWWW
Jayxun
LDLWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Shortan vs Jayxun — Match Preview

Shortan face Jayxun on October 7, 2026 in this Pro League A fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Shortan host Jayxun at Stadion Guzor.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.