Sfîntul Gheorghe 0–0 Speranţa Nisporeni

Sfîntul Gheorghe

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Speranţa Nisporeni

5/12/2019

Super Liga · Round 9Stadionul Sătesc (Suruceni)

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 27+ matches

Sfîntul Gheorghe47%

×Draw25%

Speranţa Nisporeni28%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Sfîntul GheorgheExpected goals in this matchSperanţa Nisporeni

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.60

1.18

Sfîntul Gheorghe

1.60

Speranţa Nisporeni

1.18

Sfîntul Gheorghe creates 36% more chances

Season form · 51 home / 27 away

1.35

creates per match

1.11

1.24

allows per match

1.85

creates per match

Sfîntul Gheorghe

1.35

Speranţa Nisporeni

1.11

allows per match

Sfîntul Gheorghe

1.24

Speranţa Nisporeni

1.85

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Sfîntul Gheorghe+0.00on par

Speranţa Nisporeni+0.00on par

Total goals

Over53
Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes55
No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Sfîntul Gheorghe ↓

Speranţa Nisporeni →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–17%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–112%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

77%23%2.5

53%47%3.5

30%70%4.5

15%85%

Double chance

Sfîntul Gheorghe or draw

72%

Sfîntul Gheorghe or Speranţa Nisporeni

75%

Draw or Speranţa Nisporeni

53%

Winning margin

Sfîntul Gheorghe wins by 2+

24%

Speranţa Nisporeni wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Sfîntul Gheorghe 1+ goals

80%

Sfîntul Gheorghe 2+ goals

47%

Sfîntul Gheorghe 3+ goals

22%

Speranţa Nisporeni 1+ goals

69%

Speranţa Nisporeni 2+ goals

33%

Speranţa Nisporeni 3+ goals

12%

Draw no bet

Sfîntul Gheorghe (draw refunded)

63%

Speranţa Nisporeni (draw refunded)

37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

44%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Sfîntul Gheorghe at home — creates 1.35, concedes 1.24 · 51 matches

Speranţa Nisporeni away — creates 1.11, concedes 1.85 · 27 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Sfîntul Gheorghe attack 1.35 + Speranţa Nisporeni defence 1.85 → ÷2 → 1.60

Speranţa Nisporeni attack 1.11 + Sfîntul Gheorghe defence 1.24 → ÷2 → 1.18

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Sfîntul Gheorghe scores more

47%

level

25%

Speranţa Nisporeni scores more

28%

Sfîntul Gheorghe at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Sfîntul Gheorghe will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

64'

C. Sandu← Bruno

66'

S. Istrati← A. Boiciuc

73'

V. Titievschii← R. Chelari

76'

A. Suvorov← D. Mandricenco

79'

F. Ponce← I. Yusuf

Sfîntul

Speranţa

30

Macogonen

31

Arabadji

6

▼

22

5

17

4

86

87

▼

Chelari

93

Iurcu

23

▼

28

4

3

24

21

17

97

22

▼

Mandricen

13

Cemîrtan

9

▼

Boiciuc

99

Carastoia

Manager: S. Cebotari

66'▲S. Istrati←▼A. Boiciuc

76'▲A. Suvorov←▼D. Mandricenco

Sfîntul Gheorghe substitutes

10Istrati7Suvorov8Calac11Kirakosyan16Mazur19Svinarenco25Burac

Manager: C. Efros

64'▲C. Sandu←▼Bruno

73'▲V. Titievschii←▼R. Chelari

79'▲F. Ponce←▼I. Yusuf

Speranţa Nisporeni substitutes

8Sandu96Titievschii9Ponce7Oprea99Mostovei

Match Recap: Sfîntul Gheorghe vs Speranţa Nisporeni

Sfîntul Gheorghe and Speranţa Nisporeni drew 0-0 in Super Liga on May 12, 2019.

The match was played at Stadionul Sătesc (Suruceni).

Sfîntul Gheorghe vs Speranţa Nisporeni — Super Liga 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Sfîntul Gheorghe vs Speranţa Nisporeni