San Lorenzo 0–0 Platense: Result & Stats

San Lorenzo

Pens

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Platense

A. Batalla 120+10' (pen)

A. Bareiro 120+8' (pen)

G. Campi 120+6' (pen)

A. Martegani 120+4' (pen)

S. Marcich 120+7' (pen)

N. Servetto 120+5' (pen)

I. Rossi 120+1' (pen)

7/27/2023

Copa Argentina · Round of 32Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

San Lorenzo44%

×Draw33%

Platense23%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

San LorenzoExpected goals in this matchPlatense

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.06

0.68

San Lorenzo

1.06

Platense

0.68

San Lorenzo creates 56% more chances

Season form · 13 home / 3 away

1.46

creates per match

0.67

0.69

allows per match

0.67

creates per match

San Lorenzo

1.46

Platense

0.67

allows per match

San Lorenzo

0.69

Platense

0.67

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

San Lorenzo+0.00on par

Platense+0.00on par

Total goals

Under75
Over25

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No68
Yes32

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

San Lorenzo ↓

Platense →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–018%

0–112%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–019%

1–113%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–010%

2–17%

2–22%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–12%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (19%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

82%18%1.5

52%48%2.5

25%75%3.5

10%90%4.5

3%97%

Double chance

San Lorenzo or draw

77%

San Lorenzo or Platense

67%

Draw or Platense

56%

Winning margin

San Lorenzo wins by 2+

18%

Platense wins by 2+

6%

Team goals

San Lorenzo 1+ goals

65%

San Lorenzo 2+ goals

29%

San Lorenzo 3+ goals

9%

Platense 1+ goals

49%

Platense 2+ goals

15%

Platense 3+ goals

3%

Draw no bet

San Lorenzo (draw refunded)

66%

Platense (draw refunded)

34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

20%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

San Lorenzo at home — creates 1.46, concedes 0.69 · 13 matches

Platense away — creates 0.67, concedes 0.67 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

San Lorenzo attack 1.46 + Platense defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 1.06

Platense attack 0.67 + San Lorenzo defence 0.69 → ÷2 → 0.68

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

San Lorenzo scores more

44%

level

33%

Platense scores more

23%

San Lorenzo at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "San Lorenzo will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

14'

22'

29'

37'

46'

D. Perea← I. Leguizamón

46'

N. Servetto← J. Cacciabue

50'

V. Taborda

65'

A. Martegani← N. Barrios

71'

73'

86'

86'

90+2'

120+1'

I. RossiPenalty

120+2'

G. LujánMissed penalty

120+3'

V. TabordaMissed penalty

120+4'

A. MarteganiPenalty

120+5'

N. ServettoPenalty

120+6'

G. CampiPenalty

120+7'

S. MarcichPenalty

120+8'

A. BareiroPenalty

120+9'

R. MartínezMissed penalty

120+10'

A. BatallaPenalty

San

Platense

12

4

6

27

13

18

⚽

Marcich

11

▼

Castro

15

⚽

Rossi

33

▼

Cacciabue

77

Martínez

10

Taborda

13

⚽

Batalla

2

Pérez

22

⚽

Campi

23

Hernández

47

▼

Giay

5

Elías

8

▼

Maroni

41

▼

Leguizamó

11

⚽

Bareiro

10

▼

Barrios

21

Braida

Manager: R. Insúa

46'▲D. Perea←▼I. Leguizamón

65'▲A. Martegani←▼N. Barrios

73'▲E. Irala←▼G. Maroni

90+2'▲G. Luján←▼A. Giay

San Lorenzo substitutes

49Perea20Martegani58Irala35Luján50Perruzzi15Calcaterra55Goyeneche9Blandi1Altamirano44Hernández46Silva32Herrera

Manager: M. Palermo

29'▲F. Díaz←▼N. Castro

46'▲N. Servetto←▼J. Cacciabue

Platense substitutes

8Díaz20Servetto39Monje24Pignani7Schor19Russo32Baldassarra1Sánchez22Asís29Zeineddin43Zalazar31Pellegrino

Copa Argentina: San Lorenzo 0–0 Platense

San Lorenzo and Platense drew 0-0 in Copa Argentina on July 27, 2023.

Goals: I. Rossi (120+1' pen), A. Martegani (120+4' pen), N. Servetto (120+5' pen), G. Campi (120+6' pen), S. Marcich (120+7' pen), A. Bareiro (120+8' pen), A. Batalla (120+10' pen).

The match was played at Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez in Lanús, Provincia de Buenos Aires.

San Lorenzo vs Platense — Copa Argentina 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Copa Argentina: San Lorenzo 0–0 Platense