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Ruh Lviv vs Oleksandria — Premier League 2026

Ruh Lviv
Ruh Lviv
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Oleksandria
Oleksandria
10/28/2023Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 12Arena Lviv

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 15+ matches

Ruh Lviv32%
×Draw27%
Oleksandria41%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Ruh Lviv
1.13
Oleksandria
1.31

Oleksandria creates 16% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 15 away

creates per match

Ruh Lviv
1.03
Oleksandria
1.23

allows per match

Ruh Lviv
1.39
Oleksandria
1.22

finishing

Ruh Lviv+0.04on par
Oleksandria-0.10scores less

Total goals

Under: 56Over: 4456%Under
  • Under56
  • Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No: 51Yes: 4951%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ruh Lviv ↓

Oleksandria →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–111%
0–27%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–113%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–17%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
70%30%2.5
44%56%3.5
23%77%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Ruh Lviv or draw
59%
Ruh Lviv or Oleksandria
73%
Draw or Oleksandria
68%

Winning margin

Ruh Lviv wins by 2+
13%
Oleksandria wins by 2+
18%

Team goals

Ruh Lviv 1+ goals
68%
Ruh Lviv 2+ goals
31%
Ruh Lviv 3+ goals
11%
Oleksandria 1+ goals
73%
Oleksandria 2+ goals
38%
Oleksandria 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Ruh Lviv (draw refunded)
44%
Oleksandria (draw refunded)
56%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Ruh Lviv at home — creates 1.03, concedes 1.39 · 15 matches

Oleksandria away — creates 1.23, concedes 1.22 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Ruh Lviv attack 1.03 + Oleksandria defence 1.22 → ÷2 → 1.13

Oleksandria attack 1.23 + Ruh Lviv defence 1.39 → ÷2 → 1.31

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Ruh Lviv scores more
32%
level
27%
Oleksandria scores more
41%

Oleksandria at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Oleksandria will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

46'
V. Pohorilyi← A. Andreichuk
55'
I. Kvasnytsia← D. Tesliuk
55'
Y. Pastukh← O. Prytula
66'
Geovani← A. Shulianskyi
66'
Y. Smyrnyi← M. Mykhailenko
73'
V. Solomon-Otabor← V. Runich
73'
A. Plumain← D. Pidhurskyi
73'
B. Biloshevskyi← D. Shostak
85'
A. Kulakovskyi← O. Martyniuk
87'
Solomon-Otabor Viv

Shots

Ruh: 15Oleksandria: 915Ruh

Statistics

RuhOleksandria
Overview
15Total Shots9
9Corners2
14Fouls6
Shots
15Total Shots9
8On Target4
6Off Target4
1Blocked1
Goalkeeping
4Saves8
Discipline
14Fouls6
1Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
2Offsides1

Premier League: Ruh Lviv 0–0 Oleksandria

Ruh Lviv and Oleksandria drew 0-0 in Premier League on October 28, 2023.

The match was played at Arena Lviv in Lviv.