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Rudar vs Zeta — Second League 2025

Rudar
Rudar
Preview
14:00
Zeta
Zeta
10/11/2026Second LeagueSecond League · Round 11
Big match
53%
Rudar
model favours
53%26%21%

Rudar score first in only 17% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
60%
under 2.5 goals
43%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Rudar53%
×Draw26%
Zeta21%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Rudar
1.48
Zeta
0.81

Rudar creates 83% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 9 away

creates per match

Rudar
1.85
Zeta
0.67

allows per match

Rudar
0.95
Zeta
1.11

finishing

Rudar+0.00on par
Zeta+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Under
  • Under60
  • Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

57%No
  • No57
  • Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Rudar ↓

Zeta →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–18%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–112%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–14%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
67%33%2.5
40%60%3.5
20%80%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Rudar or draw
79%
Rudar or Zeta
74%
Draw or Zeta
47%

Winning margin

Rudar wins by 2+
27%
Zeta wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Rudar 1+ goals
77%
Rudar 2+ goals
43%
Rudar 3+ goals
19%
Zeta 1+ goals
56%
Zeta 2+ goals
19%
Zeta 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Rudar (draw refunded)
72%
Zeta (draw refunded)
28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
31%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Rudar at home — creates 1.85, concedes 0.95 · 20 matches

Zeta away — creates 0.67, concedes 1.11 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Rudar attack 1.85 + Zeta defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 1.48

Zeta attack 0.67 + Rudar defence 0.95 → ÷2 → 0.81

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Rudar scores more
53%
level
26%
Zeta scores more
21%

Rudar at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Rudar will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams score in only 17% of Rudar’s matches
  • 75% of Rudar’s matches stay under 2.5 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Rudar
WWLDD
Zeta
DDLDW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Rudar vs Zeta — Match Preview

Rudar face Zeta on October 11, 2026 in this Second League fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.