Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Rudar vs Mladost Lješkopolje — Second League 2021

Rudar
Rudar
Preview
15:00
Mladost Lješkopolje
Mladost Lješkopolje
10/25/2026Second LeagueSecond League · Round 13
Big match
54%
Rudar
model favours
54%24%22%

Rudar score first in only 17% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
51%
over 2.5 goals
52%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 35+ matches

Rudar54%
×Draw24%
Mladost Lješkopolje22%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Rudar
1.72
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.01

Rudar creates 70% more chances

Season form · 35 home / 69 away

creates per match

Rudar
1.86
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.20

allows per match

Rudar
0.83
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.57

finishing

Rudar+0.00on par
Mladost Lješkopolje+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Over
  • Over51
  • Under49

Close call

Both teams score

52%Yes
  • Yes52
  • No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Rudar ↓

Mladost Lješkopolje →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–17%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–011%
1–111%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
76%24%2.5
51%49%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Rudar or draw
78%
Rudar or Mladost Lješkopolje
76%
Draw or Mladost Lješkopolje
46%

Winning margin

Rudar wins by 2+
30%
Mladost Lješkopolje wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Rudar 1+ goals
82%
Rudar 2+ goals
51%
Rudar 3+ goals
25%
Mladost Lješkopolje 1+ goals
64%
Mladost Lješkopolje 2+ goals
27%
Mladost Lješkopolje 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Rudar (draw refunded)
71%
Mladost Lješkopolje (draw refunded)
29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
41%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Rudar at home — creates 1.86, concedes 0.83 · 35 matches

Mladost Lješkopolje away — creates 1.20, concedes 1.57 · 69 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Rudar attack 1.86 + Mladost Lješkopolje defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 1.72

Mladost Lješkopolje attack 1.20 + Rudar defence 0.83 → ÷2 → 1.01

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Rudar scores more
54%
level
24%
Mladost Lješkopolje scores more
22%

Rudar at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Rudar will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams score in only 17% of Rudar’s matches
  • 75% of Rudar’s matches stay under 2.5 goals
  • Mladost Lješkopolje score first in only 31% of matches

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Rudar
WWLDD
Lješkopolje
WDWLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Rudar vs Mladost Lješkopolje — Match Preview

Rudar face Mladost Lješkopolje on October 25, 2026 in this Second League fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.