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Rochdale vs FC Halifax Town — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Rochdale
Rochdale
Preview
18:45
FC Halifax Town
FC Halifax Town
7/28/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies
Big match
42%
Rochdale
model favours
42%19%39%

FC Halifax Town have scored in 13 games running

brightest fact of this match

2–2
likely score
85%
over 2.5 goals
82%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Rochdale42%
×Draw19%
FC Halifax Town39%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Rochdale
2.40
FC Halifax Town
2.33

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 5 home / 3 away

creates per match

Rochdale
2.80
FC Halifax Town
2.67

allows per match

Rochdale
2.00
FC Halifax Town
2.00

finishing

Rochdale+0.00on par
FC Halifax Town+0.00on par

Total goals

85%Over
  • Over85
  • Under15

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

82%Yes
  • Yes82
  • No18

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Rochdale ↓

FC Halifax Town →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–22%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–02%
1–15%
1–26%
1–35%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–27%
2–35%
2–43%
3
3–02%
3–15%
3–26%
3–34%
3–43%
4
4–01%
4–13%
4–23%
4–33%
4–42%

Most likely 2–2 (7%) · grid covers 84% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
95%5%2.5
85%15%3.5
69%31%4.5
50%50%

Double chance

Rochdale or draw
61%
Rochdale or FC Halifax Town
81%
Draw or FC Halifax Town
58%

Winning margin

Rochdale wins by 2+
24%
FC Halifax Town wins by 2+
22%

Team goals

Rochdale 1+ goals
91%
Rochdale 2+ goals
69%
Rochdale 3+ goals
42%
FC Halifax Town 1+ goals
90%
FC Halifax Town 2+ goals
67%
FC Halifax Town 3+ goals
41%

Draw no bet

Rochdale (draw refunded)
51%
FC Halifax Town (draw refunded)
49%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
77%
Both score & under 3
5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Rochdale at home — creates 2.80, concedes 2.00 · 5 matches

FC Halifax Town away — creates 2.67, concedes 2.00 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Rochdale attack 2.80 + FC Halifax Town defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.40

FC Halifax Town attack 2.67 + Rochdale defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Rochdale scores more
42%
level
19%
FC Halifax Town scores more
39%

Rochdale at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Rochdale will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams score in 85% of FC Halifax Town’s matches
  • 77% of FC Halifax Town’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • FC Halifax Town score first in only 31% of matches

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Rochdale
DLDDW
Town
WLWLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Rochdale host FC Halifax Town

July 28, 2026: Rochdale take on FC Halifax Town in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.