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Respublika FA vs Shortan — Pro League A 2026

Respublika FA
Respublika FA
Preview
14:00
Shortan
Shortan
11/1/2026Pro League APro League A · Round 25
46%
Respublika FA
model favours
46%28%26%

Shortan score first in only 4% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
61%
under 2.5 goals
45%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Respublika FA46%
×Draw28%
Shortan26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Respublika FA
1.33
Shortan
0.93

Respublika FA creates 43% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 19 away

creates per match

Respublika FA
1.25
Shortan
1.11

allows per match

Respublika FA
0.75
Shortan
1.42

finishing

Respublika FA+0.00on par
Shortan+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Under
  • Under61
  • Over39

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

55%No
  • No55
  • Yes45

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Respublika FA ↓

Shortan →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–110%
0–25%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
66%34%2.5
39%61%3.5
19%81%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Respublika FA or draw
74%
Respublika FA or Shortan
72%
Draw or Shortan
54%

Winning margin

Respublika FA wins by 2+
21%
Shortan wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Respublika FA 1+ goals
74%
Respublika FA 2+ goals
38%
Respublika FA 3+ goals
15%
Shortan 1+ goals
61%
Shortan 2+ goals
24%
Shortan 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Respublika FA (draw refunded)
64%
Shortan (draw refunded)
36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
32%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Respublika FA at home — creates 1.25, concedes 0.75 · 4 matches

Shortan away — creates 1.11, concedes 1.42 · 19 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Respublika FA attack 1.25 + Shortan defence 1.42 → ÷2 → 1.33

Shortan attack 1.11 + Respublika FA defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 0.93

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Respublika FA scores more
46%
level
28%
Shortan scores more
26%

Respublika FA at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Respublika FA will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Respublika FA and Shortan have never met before

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
FA
WWLDD
Shortan
LLWWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Respublika FA vs Shortan — Match Preview

Respublika FA face Shortan on November 1, 2026 in this Pro League A fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.