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Red Lions vs Masters FC — Super League 2026

Red Lions
Red Lions
Preview
12:30
Masters FC
Masters FC
9/19/2026Super LeagueSuper League · Round 15
50%
Red Lions
model favours
50%29%21%

Red Lions win just 17% against the top half (vs 45% against the bottom)

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
66%
under 2.5 goals
39%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Red Lions50%
×Draw29%
Masters FC21%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Red Lions
1.31
Masters FC
0.75

Red Lions creates 75% more chances

Season form · 50 home / 4 away

creates per match

Red Lions
0.88
Masters FC
0.50

allows per match

Red Lions
1.00
Masters FC
1.75

finishing

Red Lions+0.00on par
Masters FC+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Under
  • Under66
  • Over34

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

61%No
  • No61
  • Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Red Lions ↓

Masters FC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–013%
0–110%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–017%
1–113%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–14%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
87%13%1.5
61%39%2.5
34%66%3.5
15%85%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Red Lions or draw
79%
Red Lions or Masters FC
71%
Draw or Masters FC
50%

Winning margin

Red Lions wins by 2+
24%
Masters FC wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Red Lions 1+ goals
73%
Red Lions 2+ goals
38%
Red Lions 3+ goals
14%
Masters FC 1+ goals
53%
Masters FC 2+ goals
17%
Masters FC 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Red Lions (draw refunded)
70%
Masters FC (draw refunded)
30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
26%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Red Lions at home — creates 0.88, concedes 1.00 · 50 matches

Masters FC away — creates 0.50, concedes 1.75 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Red Lions attack 0.88 + Masters FC defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 1.31

Masters FC attack 0.50 + Red Lions defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.75

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Red Lions scores more
50%
level
29%
Masters FC scores more
21%

Red Lions at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Red Lions will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Red Lions and Masters FC have never met before

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Lions
WLWL
FC
WLLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Red Lions face Masters FC (Super League)

Super League returns with Red Lions hosting Masters FC. Match starts September 19, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.