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Real Sociedad W vs Deportivo de La Coruña W — Primera División Femenina 2018

Real Sociedad W
Real Sociedad W
Preview
16:00
Deportivo de La Coruña W
Deportivo de La Coruña W
2/21/2027Primera División FemeninaPrimera División Femenina · Round 21Instalaciones de Zubieta
Big match
57%
Real Sociedad W
model favours
57%21%22%

Real Sociedad W have won 5 of the last 7 meetings

brightest fact of this match

2–1
likely score
65%
over 2.5 goals
62%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 59+ matches

Real Sociedad W57%
×Draw21%
Deportivo de La Coruña W22%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Real Sociedad W
2.10
Deportivo de La Coruña W
1.24

Real Sociedad W creates 69% more chances

Season form · 119 home / 59 away

creates per match

Real Sociedad W
1.87
Deportivo de La Coruña W
1.22

allows per match

Real Sociedad W
1.26
Deportivo de La Coruña W
2.34

finishing

Real Sociedad W+0.00on par
Deportivo de La Coruña W+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Over
  • Over65
  • Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Real Sociedad W ↓

Deportivo de La Coruña W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–14%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–07%
1–19%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
85%15%2.5
65%35%3.5
42%58%4.5
24%76%

Double chance

Real Sociedad W or draw
78%
Real Sociedad W or Deportivo de La Coruña W
79%
Draw or Deportivo de La Coruña W
43%

Winning margin

Real Sociedad W wins by 2+
34%
Deportivo de La Coruña W wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Real Sociedad W 1+ goals
88%
Real Sociedad W 2+ goals
62%
Real Sociedad W 3+ goals
35%
Deportivo de La Coruña W 1+ goals
71%
Deportivo de La Coruña W 2+ goals
35%
Deportivo de La Coruña W 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Real Sociedad W (draw refunded)
72%
Deportivo de La Coruña W (draw refunded)
28%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
53%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Real Sociedad W at home — creates 1.87, concedes 1.26 · 119 matches

Deportivo de La Coruña W away — creates 1.22, concedes 2.34 · 59 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Real Sociedad W attack 1.87 + Deportivo de La Coruña W defence 2.34 → ÷2 → 2.10

Deportivo de La Coruña W attack 1.22 + Real Sociedad W defence 1.26 → ÷2 → 1.24

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Real Sociedad W scores more
57%
level
21%
Deportivo de La Coruña W scores more
22%

Real Sociedad W at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Real Sociedad W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Deportivo de La Coruña W win just 11% against the top half (vs 46% against the bottom)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
W
WLWWW
W
LDWLD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Real Sociedad W host Deportivo de La Coruña W

February 21, 2027: Real Sociedad W take on Deportivo de La Coruña W in Primera División Femenina. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Real Sociedad W host Deportivo de La Coruña W at Instalaciones de Zubieta.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.