Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Real Sociedad W vs Deportivo Alavés W — Primera División Femenina 2018

Real Sociedad W
Real Sociedad W
Preview
15:00
Deportivo Alavés W
Deportivo Alavés W
4/11/2027Primera División FemeninaPrimera División Femenina · Round 26Instalaciones de Zubieta
65%
Real Sociedad W
model favours
65%18%16%

Real Sociedad W have won 4 of the last 4 meetings

brightest fact of this match

2–1
likely score
67%
over 2.5 goals
60%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Real Sociedad W65%
×Draw18%
Deportivo Alavés W16%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Real Sociedad W
2.37
Deportivo Alavés W
1.09

Real Sociedad W creates 117% more chances

Season form · 119 home / 30 away

creates per match

Real Sociedad W
1.87
Deportivo Alavés W
0.93

allows per match

Real Sociedad W
1.26
Deportivo Alavés W
2.87

finishing

Real Sociedad W+0.00on par
Deportivo Alavés W+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Over
  • Over67
  • Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Real Sociedad W ↓

Deportivo Alavés W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–18%
1–24%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–07%
3–18%
3–24%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–15%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
67%33%3.5
45%55%4.5
26%74%

Double chance

Real Sociedad W or draw
84%
Real Sociedad W or Deportivo Alavés W
82%
Draw or Deportivo Alavés W
35%

Winning margin

Real Sociedad W wins by 2+
43%
Deportivo Alavés W wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Real Sociedad W 1+ goals
91%
Real Sociedad W 2+ goals
68%
Real Sociedad W 3+ goals
42%
Deportivo Alavés W 1+ goals
66%
Deportivo Alavés W 2+ goals
30%
Deportivo Alavés W 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Real Sociedad W (draw refunded)
80%
Deportivo Alavés W (draw refunded)
20%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Real Sociedad W at home — creates 1.87, concedes 1.26 · 119 matches

Deportivo Alavés W away — creates 0.93, concedes 2.87 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Real Sociedad W attack 1.87 + Deportivo Alavés W defence 2.87 → ÷2 → 2.37

Deportivo Alavés W attack 0.93 + Real Sociedad W defence 1.26 → ÷2 → 1.09

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 65%?"

Real Sociedad W scores more
65%
level
18%
Deportivo Alavés W scores more
16%

Real Sociedad W at 65% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 65% does not mean "Real Sociedad W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Their last 4 meetings averaged 7 goals
  • Deportivo Alavés W win just 3% against the top half (vs 43% against the bottom)
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 4 meetings

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
W
WLWWW
W
DDDLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Real Sociedad W host Deportivo Alavés W

April 11, 2027: Real Sociedad W take on Deportivo Alavés W in Primera División Femenina. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Real Sociedad W host Deportivo Alavés W at Instalaciones de Zubieta.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.