Real Betis 0–1 Elche: Result & Stats | La Liga

Real Betis

FT

0 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

Elche

Tete Morente 82'

4/19/2022

La Liga · Round 33Estadio Benito Villamarín

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 27+ matches

Real Betis55%

×Draw24%

Elche20%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Real BetisExpected goals in this matchElche

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.68

0.91

Real Betis

1.68

Elche

0.91

Real Betis creates 85% more chances

Season form · 35 home / 27 away

1.61

creates per match

0.71

1.10

allows per match

1.75

creates per match

Real Betis

1.61

Elche

0.71

allows per match

Real Betis

1.10

Elche

1.75

-0.15scores less than expected

finishing

+0.14scores more than expected

finishing

Real Betis-0.15scores less

Elche+0.14scores more

Total goals

Under52
Over48

Close call

Both teams score

No51
Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Real Betis ↓

Elche →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–17%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–013%

1–111%

1–25%

1–32%

1–40%

2

2–011%

2–110%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–15%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

73%27%2.5

48%52%3.5

26%74%4.5

12%88%

Double chance

Real Betis or draw

80%

Real Betis or Elche

76%

Draw or Elche

45%

Winning margin

Real Betis wins by 2+

30%

Elche wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

Real Betis 1+ goals

81%

Real Betis 2+ goals

50%

Real Betis 3+ goals

24%

Elche 1+ goals

60%

Elche 2+ goals

23%

Elche 3+ goals

6%

Draw no bet

Real Betis (draw refunded)

73%

Elche (draw refunded)

27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

37%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Real Betis at home — creates 1.61, concedes 1.10 · 35 matches

Elche away — creates 0.71, concedes 1.75 · 27 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Real Betis attack 1.61 + Elche defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 1.68

Elche attack 0.71 + Real Betis defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 0.91

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Real Betis scores more

55%

level

24%

Elche scores more

20%

Real Betis at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Real Betis will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

13

Edgar Badia

Elche · G

7.7

Match Events

26'

Helibelton Palacios

46'

Josan Ferrández← H. Palacios

49'

Andrés Guardado

57'

Joaquín← A. Guardado

59'

Tete Morente← Fidel

59'

Barragán← Gonzalo Verdú

71'

L. Olaza← J. Mojica

73'

Tello← Juanmi

73'

Borja Iglesias← Willian José

79'

Édgar Badía

81'

Álex Moreno← Juan Miranda

81'

William Carvalho← N. Fekir

82'

Tete Morente↳ Josan Ferrández

84'

Álex Moreno

84'

Kike Pérez

87'

Pere Milla← Kike Pérez

90+3'

Paul Akouokou

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

RealElche

Overview

65%Possession35%

18Total Shots9

2Corners3

9Fouls14

Shots

18Total Shots9

3On Target1

10Off Target4

5Blocked4

9Inside Box5

9Outside Box4

Passing

65%Possession35%

619Total Passes339

530Accurate Passes257

86%Pass Accuracy76%

Goalkeeping

0Saves3

Discipline

9Fouls14

2Yellow Cards3

1Red Cards0

4Offsides5

Match Recap: Real Betis vs Elche

Elche beat Real Betis 1-0 in La Liga on April 19, 2022.

Goals: Tete Morente (82').

Real Betis controlled possession (65%) and registered 18 shots to 9.

The match was played at Estadio Benito Villamarín in Sevilla.

Real Betis vs Elche — La Liga 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Real Betis vs Elche