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RB Bragantino U17 vs Cruzeiro U17 — Brasileiro U17 2026

RB Bragantino U17
RB Bragantino U17
Preview
20:00
Cruzeiro U17
Cruzeiro U17
9/8/2026Brasileiro U17Brasileiro U17 · Round 16
Big match
40%
RB Bragantino U17
model favours
40%22%38%

RB Bragantino U17 score first in only 8% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
72%
over 2.5 goals
71%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 18+ matches

RB Bragantino U1740%
×Draw22%
Cruzeiro U1738%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

RB Bragantino U17
1.89
Cruzeiro U17
1.83

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 18 home / 20 away

creates per match

RB Bragantino U17
1.78
Cruzeiro U17
2.10

allows per match

RB Bragantino U17
1.56
Cruzeiro U17
2.00

finishing

RB Bragantino U17+0.00on par
Cruzeiro U17+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 72Under: 2872%Over
  • Over72
  • Under28

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 71No: 2971%Yes
  • Yes71
  • No29

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

RB Bragantino U17 ↓

Cruzeiro U17 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–14%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–18%
1–28%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (8%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
88%12%2.5
72%28%3.5
51%49%4.5
31%69%

Double chance

RB Bragantino U17 or draw
62%
RB Bragantino U17 or Cruzeiro U17
78%
Draw or Cruzeiro U17
60%

Winning margin

RB Bragantino U17 wins by 2+
22%
Cruzeiro U17 wins by 2+
20%

Team goals

RB Bragantino U17 1+ goals
85%
RB Bragantino U17 2+ goals
56%
RB Bragantino U17 3+ goals
29%
Cruzeiro U17 1+ goals
84%
Cruzeiro U17 2+ goals
54%
Cruzeiro U17 3+ goals
28%

Draw no bet

RB Bragantino U17 (draw refunded)
52%
Cruzeiro U17 (draw refunded)
48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
63%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

RB Bragantino U17 at home — creates 1.78, concedes 1.56 · 18 matches

Cruzeiro U17 away — creates 2.10, concedes 2.00 · 20 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

RB Bragantino U17 attack 1.78 + Cruzeiro U17 defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.89

Cruzeiro U17 attack 2.10 + RB Bragantino U17 defence 1.56 → ÷2 → 1.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

RB Bragantino U17 scores more
40%
level
22%
Cruzeiro U17 scores more
38%

RB Bragantino U17 at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "RB Bragantino U17 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Cruzeiro U17 have won 4 in a row
  • Cruzeiro U17 score first in only 21% of matches
  • Both sides lean high-scoring (69% and 64% over 2.5)
  • 69% of RB Bragantino U17’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Top-of-the-table clash — RB Bragantino U17 2 vs Cruzeiro U17 4

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
U17
WWLWL
U17
WWWDL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

RB Bragantino U17 face Cruzeiro U17 (Brasileiro U17)

Brasileiro U17 returns with RB Bragantino U17 hosting Cruzeiro U17. Match starts September 8, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.