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RB Bragantino U17 vs Athletico PR U17 — Brasileiro U17 2026

RB Bragantino U17
RB Bragantino U17
Preview
20:00
Athletico PR U17
Athletico PR U17
8/22/2026Brasileiro U17Brasileiro U17 · Round 13
Big match
42%
RB Bragantino U17
model favours
42%23%35%

Athletico PR U17 score first in only 6% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
65%
over 2.5 goals
66%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

RB Bragantino U1742%
×Draw23%
Athletico PR U1735%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

RB Bragantino U17
1.75
Athletico PR U17
1.58

RB Bragantino U17 creates 11% more chances

Season form · 18 home / 17 away

creates per match

RB Bragantino U17
1.78
Athletico PR U17
1.59

allows per match

RB Bragantino U17
1.56
Athletico PR U17
1.71

finishing

RB Bragantino U17+0.00on par
Athletico PR U17+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 65Under: 3565%Over
  • Over65
  • Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes: 66No: 3466%Yes
  • Yes66
  • No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

RB Bragantino U17 ↓

Athletico PR U17 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–110%
1–28%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
65%35%3.5
42%58%4.5
24%76%

Double chance

RB Bragantino U17 or draw
65%
RB Bragantino U17 or Athletico PR U17
77%
Draw or Athletico PR U17
58%

Winning margin

RB Bragantino U17 wins by 2+
22%
Athletico PR U17 wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

RB Bragantino U17 1+ goals
83%
RB Bragantino U17 2+ goals
52%
RB Bragantino U17 3+ goals
25%
Athletico PR U17 1+ goals
79%
Athletico PR U17 2+ goals
47%
Athletico PR U17 3+ goals
21%

Draw no bet

RB Bragantino U17 (draw refunded)
55%
Athletico PR U17 (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
56%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

RB Bragantino U17 at home — creates 1.78, concedes 1.56 · 18 matches

Athletico PR U17 away — creates 1.59, concedes 1.71 · 17 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

RB Bragantino U17 attack 1.78 + Athletico PR U17 defence 1.71 → ÷2 → 1.75

Athletico PR U17 attack 1.59 + RB Bragantino U17 defence 1.56 → ÷2 → 1.58

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

RB Bragantino U17 scores more
42%
level
23%
Athletico PR U17 scores more
35%

RB Bragantino U17 at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "RB Bragantino U17 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • RB Bragantino U17 score first in only 8% of matches
  • Athletico PR U17 have won 3 in a row
  • Both sides lean high-scoring (69% and 77% over 2.5)
  • 77% of Athletico PR U17’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Both teams score in 77% of Athletico PR U17’s matches
  • 69% of RB Bragantino U17’s matches go over 2.5 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
U17
WWLWL
U17
WWWLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

RB Bragantino U17 face Athletico PR U17 (Brasileiro U17)

Brasileiro U17 returns with RB Bragantino U17 hosting Athletico PR U17. Match starts August 22, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.