Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Rapide Oued ZEM vs Union Sportive Boujaad — Botola 2 2025

Rapide Oued ZEM
Rapide Oued ZEM
Preview
18:00
Union Sportive Boujaad
Union Sportive Boujaad
7/18/2026Botola 2Botola 2 · FinalStade Municipal de Oued Zem
38%
Rapide Oued ZEM
model favours
38%36%26%

80% of Union Sportive Boujaad’s matches stay under 2.5 goals

brightest fact of this match

0–0
likely score
80%
under 2.5 goals
28%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Rapide Oued ZEM38%
×Draw36%
Union Sportive Boujaad26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Rapide Oued ZEM
0.87
Union Sportive Boujaad
0.65

Rapide Oued ZEM creates 34% more chances

Season form · 44 home / 15 away

creates per match

Rapide Oued ZEM
1.07
Union Sportive Boujaad
0.47

allows per match

Rapide Oued ZEM
0.82
Union Sportive Boujaad
0.67

finishing

Rapide Oued ZEM+0.00on par
Union Sportive Boujaad+0.00on par

Total goals

80%Under
  • Under80
  • Over20

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

72%No
  • No72
  • Yes28

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Rapide Oued ZEM ↓

Union Sportive Boujaad →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–022%
0–114%
0–25%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–019%
1–112%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–08%
2–15%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–02%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (22%) · grid covers 100% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
78%22%1.5
45%55%2.5
20%80%3.5
7%93%4.5
2%98%

Double chance

Rapide Oued ZEM or draw
74%
Rapide Oued ZEM or Union Sportive Boujaad
64%
Draw or Union Sportive Boujaad
62%

Winning margin

Rapide Oued ZEM wins by 2+
13%
Union Sportive Boujaad wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Rapide Oued ZEM 1+ goals
58%
Rapide Oued ZEM 2+ goals
22%
Rapide Oued ZEM 3+ goals
6%
Union Sportive Boujaad 1+ goals
48%
Union Sportive Boujaad 2+ goals
14%
Union Sportive Boujaad 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Rapide Oued ZEM (draw refunded)
60%
Union Sportive Boujaad (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
15%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Rapide Oued ZEM at home — creates 1.07, concedes 0.82 · 44 matches

Union Sportive Boujaad away — creates 0.47, concedes 0.67 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Rapide Oued ZEM attack 1.07 + Union Sportive Boujaad defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 0.87

Union Sportive Boujaad attack 0.47 + Rapide Oued ZEM defence 0.82 → ÷2 → 0.65

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Rapide Oued ZEM scores more
38%
level
36%
Union Sportive Boujaad scores more
26%

Rapide Oued ZEM at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Rapide Oued ZEM will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams score in only 30% of Union Sportive Boujaad’s matches
  • Rapide Oued ZEM and Union Sportive Boujaad have never met before

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
ZEM
WLWDD
Boujaad
WDDLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Rapide Oued ZEM face Union Sportive Boujaad (Botola 2)

Botola 2 returns with Rapide Oued ZEM hosting Union Sportive Boujaad. Match starts July 18, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Rapide Oued ZEM host Union Sportive Boujaad at Stade Municipal de Oued Zem.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.