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Rapid vs Universitatea Cluj — Liga I 2018

Rapid
Rapid
Preview
17:00
Universitatea Cluj
Universitatea Cluj
2/13/2027Liga ILiga I · Round 26Superbet Arena - Giulesti
Big match
45%
Rapid
model favours
45%27%28%

Universitatea Cluj score first in only 15% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
55%
under 2.5 goals
49%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 79+ matches

Rapid45%
×Draw27%
Universitatea Cluj28%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Rapid
1.41
Universitatea Cluj
1.06

Rapid creates 33% more chances

Season form · 100 home / 79 away

creates per match

Rapid
1.63
Universitatea Cluj
1.13

allows per match

Rapid
1.00
Universitatea Cluj
1.19

finishing

Rapid+0.00on par
Universitatea Cluj+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Under
  • Under55
  • Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Rapid ↓

Universitatea Cluj →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–19%
0–25%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–113%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
71%29%2.5
45%55%3.5
24%76%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Rapid or draw
72%
Rapid or Universitatea Cluj
73%
Draw or Universitatea Cluj
55%

Winning margin

Rapid wins by 2+
22%
Universitatea Cluj wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Rapid 1+ goals
76%
Rapid 2+ goals
41%
Rapid 3+ goals
17%
Universitatea Cluj 1+ goals
65%
Universitatea Cluj 2+ goals
29%
Universitatea Cluj 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Rapid (draw refunded)
61%
Universitatea Cluj (draw refunded)
39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Rapid at home — creates 1.63, concedes 1.00 · 100 matches

Universitatea Cluj away — creates 1.13, concedes 1.19 · 79 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Rapid attack 1.63 + Universitatea Cluj defence 1.19 → ÷2 → 1.41

Universitatea Cluj attack 1.13 + Rapid defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.06

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Rapid scores more
45%
level
27%
Universitatea Cluj scores more
28%

Rapid at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Rapid will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Rapid score first in only 18% of matches
  • Both teams score in 73% of Rapid’s matches
  • 69% of Universitatea Cluj’s matches stay under 2.5 goals
  • Universitatea Cluj have won 7 of the last 10 meetings
  • Both teams score in only 31% of Universitatea Cluj’s matches
  • Top-of-the-table clash — Rapid 2 vs Universitatea Cluj 3

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Rapid
LDDWD
Cluj
DDDLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Rapid vs Universitatea Cluj — Match Preview

Rapid face Universitatea Cluj on February 13, 2027 in this Liga I fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Rapid host Universitatea Cluj at Superbet Arena - Giulesti.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.