Radnicki 1923 vs Železničar Pančevo

Radnicki 1923

Preview

16:00

Železničar Pančevo

7/25/2026

Super Liga · Round 2

Big match

44%

Radnicki 1923

model favours

44%26%31%

Železničar Pančevo score first in only 15% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1

likely score

50%

over 2.5 goals

54%

both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 57+ matches

Radnicki 192344%

×Draw26%

Železničar Pančevo31%

✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.6%

Always home

44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Radnicki 1923Expected goals in this matchŽelezničar Pančevo

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.48

1.20

Radnicki 1923

1.48

Železničar Pančevo

1.20

Radnicki 1923 creates 23% more chances

Season form · 93 home / 57 away

1.44

creates per match

1.12

1.28

allows per match

1.51

creates per match

Radnicki 1923

1.44

Železničar Pančevo

1.12

allows per match

Radnicki 1923

1.28

Železničar Pančevo

1.51

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Radnicki 1923+0.00on par

Železničar Pančevo+0.00on par

Total goals

Under50
Over50

Close call

Both teams score

Yes54
No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Radnicki 1923 ↓

Železničar Pančevo →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–18%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–112%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

75%25%2.5

50%50%3.5

28%72%4.5

13%87%

Double chance

Radnicki 1923 or draw

69%

Radnicki 1923 or Železničar Pančevo

74%

Draw or Železničar Pančevo

56%

Winning margin

Radnicki 1923 wins by 2+

21%

Železničar Pančevo wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Radnicki 1923 1+ goals

77%

Radnicki 1923 2+ goals

43%

Radnicki 1923 3+ goals

19%

Železničar Pančevo 1+ goals

70%

Železničar Pančevo 2+ goals

34%

Železničar Pančevo 3+ goals

12%

Draw no bet

Radnicki 1923 (draw refunded)

59%

Železničar Pančevo (draw refunded)

41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

42%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Radnicki 1923 at home — creates 1.44, concedes 1.28 · 93 matches

Železničar Pančevo away — creates 1.12, concedes 1.51 · 57 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Radnicki 1923 attack 1.44 + Železničar Pančevo defence 1.51 → ÷2 → 1.48

Železničar Pančevo attack 1.12 + Radnicki 1923 defence 1.28 → ÷2 → 1.20

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Radnicki 1923 scores more

44%

level

26%

Železničar Pančevo scores more

31%

Radnicki 1923 at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Radnicki 1923 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

69% of Železničar Pančevo’s matches stay under 2.5 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Similar styles

Radnicki 1923

Defensively solid

Železničar Pančevo

Defensively solid

52%Possession53%

77%Pass accuracy80%

12.8ShotsBiggest gap11.3

1.25xG1.37

Radnicki 1923Železničar Pančevo

Head-to-head

10 previous meetings

5

Radnicki 1923

2

Draws

3

Železničar Pančevo

Avg goals: 2.5BTTS: 50%

0–11–11–12–33–0

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form

1923

LWWL

Pančevo

WWLDL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff