Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

QPR vs Preston — Championship 2025

QPR
QPR
Preview
14:00
Preston
Preston
9/19/2026ChampionshipChampionship · Round 8Loftus Road
Big match
45%
QPR
model favours
45%27%28%

Preston score first in only 17% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
55%
under 2.5 goals
49%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 9+ matches

QPR45%
×Draw27%
Preston28%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

QPR
1.41
Preston
1.05

QPR creates 34% more chances

Season form · 9 home / 16 away

creates per match

QPR
1.19
Preston
1.13

allows per match

QPR
0.97
Preston
1.62

finishing

QPR+0.03on par
Preston+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Under
  • Under55
  • Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

QPR ↓

Preston →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–19%
0–25%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–113%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
70%30%2.5
45%55%3.5
23%77%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

QPR or draw
72%
QPR or Preston
73%
Draw or Preston
55%

Winning margin

QPR wins by 2+
22%
Preston wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

QPR 1+ goals
76%
QPR 2+ goals
41%
QPR 3+ goals
17%
Preston 1+ goals
65%
Preston 2+ goals
28%
Preston 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

QPR (draw refunded)
62%
Preston (draw refunded)
38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
36%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

QPR at home — creates 1.19, concedes 0.97 · 9 matches

Preston away — creates 1.13, concedes 1.62 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

QPR attack 1.19 + Preston defence 1.62 → ÷2 → 1.41

Preston attack 1.13 + QPR defence 0.97 → ÷2 → 1.05

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

QPR scores more
45%
level
27%
Preston scores more
28%

QPR at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "QPR will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams score in 76% of Preston’s matches
  • Preston win just 21% of their away games
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 meetings

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
QPR
Direct / counter-attacking
Preston
Balanced
44%Possession46%
73%Pass accuracy71%
11.4ShotsBiggest gap10.1
1.07xG1.00
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
QPRPreston

Head-to-head

5 previous meetings

3
QPR
2
Draws
0
Preston
Avg goals: 2.2BTTS: 80%
1–11–12–12–11–0

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
QPR
WDLLL
Preston
WLWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: QPR host Preston

September 19, 2026: QPR take on Preston in Championship. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

QPR host Preston at Loftus Road.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.