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Prostějov vs AS Trencin — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Prostějov
Prostějov
Canc
10:00
AS Trencin
AS Trencin
2/7/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

Prostějov70%
×Draw17%
AS Trencin13%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Prostějov
2.58
AS Trencin
1.02

Prostějov creates 153% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 15 away

creates per match

Prostějov
3.36
AS Trencin
1.40

allows per match

Prostějov
0.64
AS Trencin
1.80

finishing

Prostějov+0.00on par
AS Trencin+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Over
  • Over69
  • Under31

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Prostějov ↓

AS Trencin →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–13%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–07%
1–17%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–18%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–05%
4–15%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (9%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
69%31%3.5
48%52%4.5
28%72%

Double chance

Prostějov or draw
87%
Prostějov or AS Trencin
83%
Draw or AS Trencin
30%

Winning margin

Prostějov wins by 2+
49%
AS Trencin wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Prostějov 1+ goals
92%
Prostějov 2+ goals
72%
Prostějov 3+ goals
47%
AS Trencin 1+ goals
64%
AS Trencin 2+ goals
27%
AS Trencin 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Prostějov (draw refunded)
84%
AS Trencin (draw refunded)
16%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
52%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Prostějov at home — creates 3.36, concedes 0.64 · 11 matches

AS Trencin away — creates 1.40, concedes 1.80 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Prostějov attack 3.36 + AS Trencin defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 2.58

AS Trencin attack 1.40 + Prostějov defence 0.64 → ÷2 → 1.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 70%?"

Prostějov scores more
70%
level
17%
AS Trencin scores more
13%

Prostějov at 70% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 70% does not mean "Prostějov will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Prostějov vs AS Trencin — Match Preview

Prostějov face AS Trencin on February 7, 2024 in this Friendlies Clubs fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Prostějov host AS Trencin at TBC.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.