Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Preston vs QPR — Championship 2025

Preston
Preston
Preview
15:00
QPR
QPR
2/20/2027ChampionshipChampionship · Round 33Deepdale
Big match
36%
QPR
model favours
34%30%36%

Preston score first in only 17% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
65%
under 2.5 goals
42%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 8+ matches

Preston34%
×Draw30%
QPR36%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Preston
1.03
QPR
1.07

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 16 home / 8 away

creates per match

Preston
0.91
QPR
0.93

allows per match

Preston
1.21
QPR
1.16

finishing

Preston+0.15scores more
QPR+0.45scores more

Total goals

65%Under
  • Under65
  • Over35

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

58%No
  • No58
  • Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Preston ↓

QPR →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–113%
0–27%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–013%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–17%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–02%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
62%38%2.5
35%65%3.5
16%84%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Preston or draw
64%
Preston or QPR
70%
Draw or QPR
66%

Winning margin

Preston wins by 2+
13%
QPR wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Preston 1+ goals
64%
Preston 2+ goals
28%
Preston 3+ goals
9%
QPR 1+ goals
66%
QPR 2+ goals
29%
QPR 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

Preston (draw refunded)
49%
QPR (draw refunded)
51%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
29%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Preston at home — creates 0.91, concedes 1.21 · 16 matches

QPR away — creates 0.93, concedes 1.16 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Preston attack 0.91 + QPR defence 1.16 → ÷2 → 1.03

QPR attack 0.93 + Preston defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.07

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 36%?"

Preston scores more
34%
level
30%
QPR scores more
36%

QPR at 36% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 36% does not mean "QPR will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams score in 76% of Preston’s matches
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 meetings

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Preston
Balanced
QPR
Direct / counter-attacking
46%Possession44%
72%Pass accuracy73%
10.1ShotsBiggest gap11.4
0.99xG1.06
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
PrestonQPR

Head-to-head

5 previous meetings

0
Preston
2
Draws
3
QPR
Avg goals: 2.2BTTS: 80%
1–11–11–21–20–1

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Preston
WLWL
QPR
WDLLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Preston host QPR

February 20, 2027: Preston take on QPR in Championship. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Preston host QPR at Deepdale.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.