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Portstewart vs H&W Welders — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Portstewart
Portstewart
Preview
14:00
H&W Welders
H&W Welders
8/1/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies
46%
H&W Welders
model favours
32%21%46%

H&W Welders score first in only 18% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–2
likely score
73%
over 2.5 goals
72%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Portstewart32%
×Draw21%
H&W Welders46%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Portstewart
1.72
H&W Welders
2.08

H&W Welders creates 21% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 6 away

creates per match

Portstewart
0.60
H&W Welders
1.17

allows per match

Portstewart
3.00
H&W Welders
2.83

finishing

Portstewart+0.00on par
H&W Welders+0.00on par

Total goals

73%Over
  • Over73
  • Under27

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

72%Yes
  • Yes72
  • No28

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Portstewart ↓

H&W Welders →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–15%
0–25%
0–33%
0–42%
1
1–04%
1–18%
1–28%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–03%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–43%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–24%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (8%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
89%11%2.5
73%27%3.5
52%48%4.5
33%67%

Double chance

Portstewart or draw
54%
Portstewart or H&W Welders
79%
Draw or H&W Welders
68%

Winning margin

Portstewart wins by 2+
16%
H&W Welders wins by 2+
27%

Team goals

Portstewart 1+ goals
82%
Portstewart 2+ goals
51%
Portstewart 3+ goals
25%
H&W Welders 1+ goals
87%
H&W Welders 2+ goals
61%
H&W Welders 3+ goals
34%

Draw no bet

Portstewart (draw refunded)
41%
H&W Welders (draw refunded)
59%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
64%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Portstewart at home — creates 0.60, concedes 3.00 · 5 matches

H&W Welders away — creates 1.17, concedes 2.83 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Portstewart attack 0.60 + H&W Welders defence 2.83 → ÷2 → 1.72

H&W Welders attack 1.17 + Portstewart defence 3.00 → ÷2 → 2.08

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Portstewart scores more
32%
level
21%
H&W Welders scores more
46%

H&W Welders at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "H&W Welders will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • 73% of H&W Welders’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Portstewart and H&W Welders have never met before

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Portstewart
LDWW
Welders
LLWDW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Portstewart host H&W Welders

August 1, 2026: Portstewart take on H&W Welders in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.