Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Podbeskidzie vs Chrobry Głogów — I Liga 2025

Podbeskidzie
Podbeskidzie
Preview
16:00
Chrobry Głogów
Chrobry Głogów
2/20/2027I LigaI Liga · Round 21Stadion Miejski w Bielsku Bialej
Big match
35%
Podbeskidzie
model favours
35%34%30%

Podbeskidzie are unbeaten in 7 straight

brightest fact of this match

0–0
likely score
76%
under 2.5 goals
32%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Podbeskidzie35%
×Draw34%
Chrobry Głogów30%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Podbeskidzie
0.89
Chrobry Głogów
0.80

Podbeskidzie creates 11% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 32 away

creates per match

Podbeskidzie
0.33
Chrobry Głogów
0.94

allows per match

Podbeskidzie
0.67
Chrobry Głogów
1.44

finishing

Podbeskidzie+0.00on par
Chrobry Głogów+0.00on par

Total goals

76%Under
  • Under76
  • Over24

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

68%No
  • No68
  • Yes32

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Podbeskidzie ↓

Chrobry Głogów →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–018%
0–115%
0–26%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–016%
1–113%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–07%
2–16%
2–22%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–02%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (18%) · grid covers 100% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
82%18%1.5
50%50%2.5
24%76%3.5
9%91%4.5
3%97%

Double chance

Podbeskidzie or draw
70%
Podbeskidzie or Chrobry Głogów
66%
Draw or Chrobry Głogów
65%

Winning margin

Podbeskidzie wins by 2+
12%
Chrobry Głogów wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Podbeskidzie 1+ goals
59%
Podbeskidzie 2+ goals
22%
Podbeskidzie 3+ goals
6%
Chrobry Głogów 1+ goals
55%
Chrobry Głogów 2+ goals
19%
Chrobry Głogów 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Podbeskidzie (draw refunded)
54%
Chrobry Głogów (draw refunded)
46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
19%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Podbeskidzie at home — creates 0.33, concedes 0.67 · 3 matches

Chrobry Głogów away — creates 0.94, concedes 1.44 · 32 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Podbeskidzie attack 0.33 + Chrobry Głogów defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 0.89

Chrobry Głogów attack 0.94 + Podbeskidzie defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 0.80

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 35%?"

Podbeskidzie scores more
35%
level
34%
Chrobry Głogów scores more
30%

Podbeskidzie at 35% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 35% does not mean "Podbeskidzie will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Chrobry Głogów score first in only 17% of matches
  • Chrobry Głogów have scored in 12 games running
  • 83% of Chrobry Głogów’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Both sides lean high-scoring (60% and 83% over 2.5)
  • Podbeskidzie score first in only 30% of matches
  • Podbeskidzie have scored in 7 games running

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Podbeskidzie
WWDWW
Głogów
WLLWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Podbeskidzie face Chrobry Głogów (I Liga)

I Liga returns with Podbeskidzie hosting Chrobry Głogów. Match starts February 20, 2027. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Podbeskidzie host Chrobry Głogów at Stadion Miejski w Bielsku Bialej.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.