Plzen vs Slavia Praha: Preview & Prediction

Plzen

Preview

14:00

Slavia Praha

2/27/2027

Czech Liga · Round 23Doosan Arena

Big match

42%

Plzen

model favours

42%24%34%

Slavia Praha score first in only 32% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1

likely score

59%

over 2.5 goals

61%

both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 7+ matches

Plzen42%

×Draw24%

Slavia Praha34%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

PlzenExpected goals in this matchSlavia Praha

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.62

1.44

Plzen

1.62

Slavia Praha

1.44

Plzen creates 13% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 15 away

2.22

creates per match

1.67

1.20

allows per match

1.02

creates per match

Plzen

2.22

Slavia Praha

1.67

allows per match

Plzen

1.20

Slavia Praha

1.02

+0.64scores more than expected

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Plzen+0.64scores more

Slavia Praha+0.00on par

Total goals

Over59
Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes61
No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Plzen ↓

Slavia Praha →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–17%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–111%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–15%

3–23%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

81%19%2.5

59%41%3.5

36%64%4.5

19%81%

Double chance

Plzen or draw

66%

Plzen or Slavia Praha

76%

Draw or Slavia Praha

58%

Winning margin

Plzen wins by 2+

21%

Slavia Praha wins by 2+

16%

Team goals

Plzen 1+ goals

80%

Plzen 2+ goals

48%

Plzen 3+ goals

22%

Slavia Praha 1+ goals

76%

Slavia Praha 2+ goals

42%

Slavia Praha 3+ goals

18%

Draw no bet

Plzen (draw refunded)

55%

Slavia Praha (draw refunded)

45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

50%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Plzen at home — creates 2.22, concedes 1.20 · 7 matches

Slavia Praha away — creates 1.67, concedes 1.02 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Plzen attack 2.22 + Slavia Praha defence 1.02 → ÷2 → 1.62

Slavia Praha attack 1.67 + Plzen defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 1.44

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Plzen scores more

42%

level

24%

Slavia Praha scores more

34%

Plzen at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Plzen will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

73% of Slavia Praha’s matches go over 2.5 goals
Slavia Praha have won 7 of the last 10 meetings
Top-of-the-table clash — Plzen 3 vs Slavia Praha 1
Style contrast — Plzen play Attack-heavy, Slavia Praha Possession-dominant
25% of Slavia Praha’s goals come in the first 15 minutes
Their last 10 meetings averaged 3.5 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles

Plzen

Attack-heavy

Slavia Praha

Possession-dominant

54%Possession59%

77%Pass accuracy77%

14.1ShotsBiggest gap18.2

1.83xG2.18

PlzenSlavia Praha

Head-to-head

10 previous meetings

2

Plzen

1

Draws

7

Slavia Praha

Avg goals: 3.5BTTS: 50%

0–30–03–53–41–3

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form

Plzen

WLDDW

Praha

WLDL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Plzen vs Slavia Praha — Match Preview

Plzen face Slavia Praha on February 27, 2027 in this Czech Liga fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Plzen host Slavia Praha at Doosan Arena.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.

Plzen vs Slavia Praha — Czech Liga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Insights

Style Matchup

Head-to-head

Head to Head

Plzen vs Slavia Praha — Match Preview