Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Plzen vs Gornik Zabrze — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Plzen
Plzen
Canc
08:30
Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze
7/9/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Plzen53%
×Draw23%
Gornik Zabrze25%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Plzen
1.88
Gornik Zabrze
1.22

Plzen creates 54% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 8 away

creates per match

Plzen
3.00
Gornik Zabrze
1.38

allows per match

Plzen
1.06
Gornik Zabrze
0.75

finishing

Plzen+0.00on par
Gornik Zabrze+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Plzen ↓

Gornik Zabrze →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–110%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
60%40%3.5
37%63%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Plzen or draw
75%
Plzen or Gornik Zabrze
77%
Draw or Gornik Zabrze
47%

Winning margin

Plzen wins by 2+
30%
Gornik Zabrze wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Plzen 1+ goals
85%
Plzen 2+ goals
56%
Plzen 3+ goals
29%
Gornik Zabrze 1+ goals
70%
Gornik Zabrze 2+ goals
34%
Gornik Zabrze 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Plzen (draw refunded)
68%
Gornik Zabrze (draw refunded)
32%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Plzen at home — creates 3.00, concedes 1.06 · 17 matches

Gornik Zabrze away — creates 1.38, concedes 0.75 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Plzen attack 3.00 + Gornik Zabrze defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 1.88

Gornik Zabrze attack 1.38 + Plzen defence 1.06 → ÷2 → 1.22

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Plzen scores more
53%
level
23%
Gornik Zabrze scores more
25%

Plzen at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Plzen will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Plzen vs Gornik Zabrze — Match Preview

Plzen face Gornik Zabrze on July 9, 2024 in this Friendlies Clubs fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Plzen host Gornik Zabrze at TBC.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.