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PK-35 vs JIPPO — Ykkösliiga 2026

PK-35
PK-35
Preview
15:00
JIPPO
JIPPO
7/25/2026YkkösliigaYkkösliiga · Group StageMarkku.fi Areena
Big match
39%
JIPPO
model favours
34%27%39%

PK-35 are unbeaten in 9 straight

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
53%
under 2.5 goals
52%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 34+ matches

PK-3534%
×Draw27%
JIPPO39%
✓ Correct in 51 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.6%
Always home
44.7%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.6% correct across 576,853 matches, vs 44.7% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.9% correct · Away picks 49.7% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

PK-35
1.23
JIPPO
1.33

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 34 home / 34 away

creates per match

PK-35
1.41
JIPPO
1.56

allows per match

PK-35
1.09
JIPPO
1.06

finishing

PK-35+0.00on par
JIPPO+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Under
  • Under53
  • Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

52%Yes
  • Yes52
  • No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

PK-35 ↓

JIPPO →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–110%
0–27%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–113%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
47%53%3.5
25%75%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

PK-35 or draw
61%
PK-35 or JIPPO
73%
Draw or JIPPO
66%

Winning margin

PK-35 wins by 2+
15%
JIPPO wins by 2+
18%

Team goals

PK-35 1+ goals
71%
PK-35 2+ goals
35%
PK-35 3+ goals
13%
JIPPO 1+ goals
74%
JIPPO 2+ goals
38%
JIPPO 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

PK-35 (draw refunded)
47%
JIPPO (draw refunded)
53%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

PK-35 at home — creates 1.41, concedes 1.09 · 34 matches

JIPPO away — creates 1.56, concedes 1.06 · 34 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

PK-35 attack 1.41 + JIPPO defence 1.06 → ÷2 → 1.23

JIPPO attack 1.56 + PK-35 defence 1.09 → ÷2 → 1.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

PK-35 scores more
34%
level
27%
JIPPO scores more
39%

JIPPO at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "JIPPO will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • PK-35 have won 5 in a row
  • JIPPO are unbeaten in 6 straight
  • JIPPO score first in only 28% of matches
  • PK-35 score first in only 30% of matches
  • PK-35 have scored in 8 games running
  • Both teams score in 76% of JIPPO’s matches

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
PK-35
WWWWW
JIPPO
WWDDW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: PK-35 host JIPPO

July 25, 2026: PK-35 take on JIPPO in Ykkösliiga. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

PK-35 host JIPPO at Markku.fi Areena.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.