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Piteå W vs Eskilstuna United W — Damallsvenskan 2020

Piteå W
Piteå W
Preview
13:00
Eskilstuna United W
Eskilstuna United W
10/31/2026DamallsvenskanDamallsvenskan · Round 24LF Arena
Big match
40%
Piteå W
model favours
40%27%33%

Piteå W score first in only 15% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
55%
under 2.5 goals
50%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 40+ matches

Piteå W40%
×Draw27%
Eskilstuna United W33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Piteå W
1.32
Eskilstuna United W
1.16

Piteå W creates 14% more chances

Season form · 80 home / 40 away

creates per match

Piteå W
1.32
Eskilstuna United W
1.07

allows per match

Piteå W
1.25
Eskilstuna United W
1.32

finishing

Piteå W+0.00on par
Eskilstuna United W+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Under
  • Under55
  • Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Piteå W ↓

Eskilstuna United W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–110%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
71%29%2.5
45%55%3.5
24%76%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Piteå W or draw
67%
Piteå W or Eskilstuna United W
73%
Draw or Eskilstuna United W
60%

Winning margin

Piteå W wins by 2+
18%
Eskilstuna United W wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Piteå W 1+ goals
73%
Piteå W 2+ goals
38%
Piteå W 3+ goals
15%
Eskilstuna United W 1+ goals
69%
Eskilstuna United W 2+ goals
32%
Eskilstuna United W 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Piteå W (draw refunded)
55%
Eskilstuna United W (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Piteå W at home — creates 1.32, concedes 1.25 · 80 matches

Eskilstuna United W away — creates 1.07, concedes 1.32 · 40 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Piteå W attack 1.32 + Eskilstuna United W defence 1.32 → ÷2 → 1.32

Eskilstuna United W attack 1.07 + Piteå W defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.16

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Piteå W scores more
40%
level
27%
Eskilstuna United W scores more
33%

Piteå W at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Piteå W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Eskilstuna United W have won 5 of the last 7 meetings
  • Piteå W win just 21% against the top half (vs 54% against the bottom)
  • Eskilstuna United W win just 18% against the top half (vs 62% against the bottom)
  • Piteå W fall short of their xG (0.7 vs 1.5 expected)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
W
DLLWL
W
LWDDL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Piteå W host Eskilstuna United W

October 31, 2026: Piteå W take on Eskilstuna United W in Damallsvenskan. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Piteå W host Eskilstuna United W at LF Arena.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.