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Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 20+ matches

Philadelphia 43%Draw 23%34% Chicago
1.76Expected xG1.54

Over / Under 2.5

64%

Over

36%

Under

Both Score

65%

Yes

35%

No

Most Likely Scores

1-1

10%

2-1

9%

1-2

8%

xG Profile (20 home / 35 away matches)

Philadelphia Union

xG 1.55 · xGA 1.15

+0 vs xG

Chicago Fire

xG 1.94 · xGA 1.97

+0 vs xG

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire — Major League Soccer 2026

Major League SoccerMajor League Soccer·2026📍Subaru Park
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
FT
1 – 2
HT: 1 – 1
Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
M. Iloski 45'
J. Bamba 58'
H. Cuypers 45'
Date
Mar 21, 2026, 8:30 PM
Tournament
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 5
Referee
N. Bensalah
Venue
Subaru Park, Chester

Season form

Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.

Philadelphia Union

Over / Under 2.5

60%over 2.5
  • Over 2.53560%
  • Under 2.52340%

Both teams scored

57%BTTS
  • Yes3357%
  • No2543%

Chicago Fire

Over / Under 2.5

67%over 2.5
  • Over 2.55467%
  • Under 2.52733%

Both teams scored

62%BTTS
  • Yes5062%
  • No3138%

Player of the match

19
J. BambaChicago FireChicago Fire · M
8.2

Match Events

8'
Robin Lod
23'
Dje Tah D'Avilla
31'
M. Haile-Selassie← P. Zinckernagel
37'
Philippe Ndinga
45'
H. Cuypers↳ A. Gutman
45'
M. Iloski↳ A. Bedoya
46'
J. Lukic← J. Bueno
46'
V. Radojevic← A. Gutman
58'
J. Bamba
62'
I. Vassilev← A. Bedoya
62'
M. Jakupovic← C. Sullivan
66'
J. Rafanello← D. Jean Jacques
76'
B. Bender← P. Ndinga
87'
Viktor Radojević
89'
J. Shokalook← R. Lod
89'
J. Dean← J. Bamba

Possession

47%Philadelphia

Shots

12Philadelphia

Pass accuracy

50%Philadelphia

Statistics

PhiladelphiaChicago
Overview
47%Possession53%
12Total Shots11
0.85Expected Goals (xG)2.52
6Corners2
11Fouls15
Shots
12Total Shots11
3On Target4
6Off Target6
3Blocked1
5Inside Box9
7Outside Box2
Passing
47%Possession53%
373Total Passes431
274Accurate Passes313
73%Pass Accuracy73%
Goalkeeping
2Saves2
0.88Goals Prevented0.88
Discipline
11Fouls15
1Yellow Cards3

Philadelphia Union 1 – 2 Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire beat Philadelphia Union 2-1 in Major League Soccer on March 21, 2026.

Goals: H. Cuypers (45'), M. Iloski (45'), J. Bamba (58').

Chicago Fire controlled possession (53%) and registered 11 shots to 12.

The match was played at Subaru Park in Chester.