Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Oxford City vs Scarborough Athletic — League #50 2026

Oxford City
Oxford City
Preview
15:00
Scarborough Athletic
Scarborough Athletic
11/21/2026League #50League #50 · National League North - 17RAW Charging Stadium
53%
Oxford City
model favours
53%25%22%

Oxford City sit 8, Scarborough Athletic 21 in the table

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
52%
under 2.5 goals
49%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Oxford City53%
×Draw25%
Scarborough Athletic22%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Oxford City
1.63
Scarborough Athletic
0.95

Oxford City creates 72% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 5 away

creates per match

Oxford City
1.25
Scarborough Athletic
0.40

allows per match

Oxford City
1.50
Scarborough Athletic
2.00

finishing

Oxford City+0.00on par
Scarborough Athletic+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Under
  • Under52
  • Over48

Close call

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Oxford City ↓

Scarborough Athletic →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–17%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–112%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
73%27%2.5
48%52%3.5
26%74%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Oxford City or draw
78%
Oxford City or Scarborough Athletic
75%
Draw or Scarborough Athletic
47%

Winning margin

Oxford City wins by 2+
28%
Scarborough Athletic wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Oxford City 1+ goals
80%
Oxford City 2+ goals
48%
Oxford City 3+ goals
22%
Scarborough Athletic 1+ goals
61%
Scarborough Athletic 2+ goals
25%
Scarborough Athletic 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Oxford City (draw refunded)
71%
Scarborough Athletic (draw refunded)
29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Oxford City at home — creates 1.25, concedes 1.50 · 4 matches

Scarborough Athletic away — creates 0.40, concedes 2.00 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Oxford City attack 1.25 + Scarborough Athletic defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.63

Scarborough Athletic attack 0.40 + Oxford City defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 0.95

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Oxford City scores more
53%
level
25%
Scarborough Athletic scores more
22%

Oxford City at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Oxford City will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Oxford City and Scarborough Athletic have never met before

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
City
WWWLL
Athletic
DDLLD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Oxford City vs Scarborough Athletic — Match Preview

Oxford City face Scarborough Athletic on November 21, 2026 in this League #50 fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Oxford City host Scarborough Athletic at RAW Charging Stadium.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.