Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Olmaliq vs Kokand-1912 — Super League 2026

Olmaliq
Olmaliq
Preview
15:00
Kokand-1912
Kokand-1912
10/23/2026Super LeagueSuper League · Round 25OKMK Sport Majmuasi
Big match
54%
Olmaliq
model favours
54%24%22%

Olmaliq score first in only 6% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
52%
over 2.5 goals
52%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 72+ matches

Olmaliq54%
×Draw24%
Kokand-191222%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Olmaliq
1.72
Kokand-1912
1.02

Olmaliq creates 69% more chances

Season form · 94 home / 72 away

creates per match

Olmaliq
1.86
Kokand-1912
0.88

allows per match

Olmaliq
1.17
Kokand-1912
1.58

finishing

Olmaliq+0.00on par
Kokand-1912+0.00on par

Total goals

Over: 52Under: 4852%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes: 52No: 4852%Yes
  • Yes52
  • No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Olmaliq ↓

Kokand-1912 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–17%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–011%
1–111%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Olmaliq or draw
78%
Olmaliq or Kokand-1912
76%
Draw or Kokand-1912
46%

Winning margin

Olmaliq wins by 2+
29%
Kokand-1912 wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Olmaliq 1+ goals
82%
Olmaliq 2+ goals
51%
Olmaliq 3+ goals
25%
Kokand-1912 1+ goals
64%
Kokand-1912 2+ goals
27%
Kokand-1912 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Olmaliq (draw refunded)
71%
Kokand-1912 (draw refunded)
29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
41%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Olmaliq at home — creates 1.86, concedes 1.17 · 94 matches

Kokand-1912 away — creates 0.88, concedes 1.58 · 72 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Olmaliq attack 1.86 + Kokand-1912 defence 1.58 → ÷2 → 1.72

Kokand-1912 attack 0.88 + Olmaliq defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Olmaliq scores more
54%
level
24%
Kokand-1912 scores more
22%

Olmaliq at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Olmaliq will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Olmaliq are unbeaten in 8 straight
  • Kokand-1912 win just 9% of their away games

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Olmaliq
WWDWD
Kokand-1912
LLWLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Olmaliq host Kokand-1912

October 23, 2026: Olmaliq take on Kokand-1912 in Super League. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Olmaliq host Kokand-1912 at OKMK Sport Majmuasi.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.