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Olimpik-Mobiuz vs Yaypan — Pro League A 2026

Olimpik-Mobiuz
Olimpik-Mobiuz
Preview
13:00
Yaypan
Yaypan
10/19/2026Pro League APro League A · Round 23
55%
Olimpik-Mobiuz
model favours
55%22%22%
1–1
likely score
59%
over 2.5 goals
58%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Olimpik-Mobiuz55%
×Draw22%
Yaypan22%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Olimpik-Mobiuz
1.92
Yaypan
1.14

Olimpik-Mobiuz creates 68% more chances

Season form · 29 home / 4 away

creates per match

Olimpik-Mobiuz
1.59
Yaypan
1.25

allows per match

Olimpik-Mobiuz
1.03
Yaypan
2.25

finishing

Olimpik-Mobiuz+0.00on par
Yaypan+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Over
  • Over59
  • Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Olimpik-Mobiuz ↓

Yaypan →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–110%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
59%41%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Olimpik-Mobiuz or draw
78%
Olimpik-Mobiuz or Yaypan
78%
Draw or Yaypan
45%

Winning margin

Olimpik-Mobiuz wins by 2+
32%
Yaypan wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Olimpik-Mobiuz 1+ goals
85%
Olimpik-Mobiuz 2+ goals
57%
Olimpik-Mobiuz 3+ goals
30%
Yaypan 1+ goals
68%
Yaypan 2+ goals
32%
Yaypan 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Olimpik-Mobiuz (draw refunded)
71%
Yaypan (draw refunded)
29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Olimpik-Mobiuz at home — creates 1.59, concedes 1.03 · 29 matches

Yaypan away — creates 1.25, concedes 2.25 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Olimpik-Mobiuz attack 1.59 + Yaypan defence 2.25 → ÷2 → 1.92

Yaypan attack 1.25 + Olimpik-Mobiuz defence 1.03 → ÷2 → 1.14

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 55%?"

Olimpik-Mobiuz scores more
55%
level
22%
Yaypan scores more
22%

Olimpik-Mobiuz at 55% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 55% does not mean "Olimpik-Mobiuz will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Olimpik-Mobiuz
WLWLD
Yaypan
LLWWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Olimpik-Mobiuz face Yaypan (Pro League A)

Pro League A returns with Olimpik-Mobiuz hosting Yaypan. Match starts October 19, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.